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Valmiera vs FK Metta Prediction & H2H Stats

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1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Lopes G.
36' Event
Klavinskis R.
44' Event
Klavinskis R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Valmiera
20%
Draws
45%
FK Metta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Metta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Valmiera haven't matched FK Metta's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 10%
FK Metta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmiera FK Metta
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 23
Draws 3 3
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 2.94 3.93
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 1. Liga
Valmiera vs FK Metta
2:2
May 2, 2026 1. Liga
FK Metta vs Valmiera
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 Virsliga
Valmiera vs FK Metta
4:0
Jun 20, 2024 Virsliga
Valmiera vs FK Metta
3:0
May 1, 2024 Virsliga
FK Metta vs Valmiera
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmiera Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kayramani F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

FK Metta Compare

Top Goalscorer Klavinskis R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 30 / 100
FK Metta 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmiera FK Metta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Metta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valmiera's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Valmiera went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FK Metta let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Valmiera VS FK Metta
3.25 Goals Scored 4.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmiera

(Home)
19 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 4
Riga Mariners
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
Page 1 of 7

FK Metta

(Away)
19 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 3
FK Metta
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 21 17 3 1 89:17 54
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 21 14 5 2 50:23 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 21 9 2 10 34:32 29
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 Tukums 2000 2 21 5 3 13 27:60 18
11 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
12 RFS 2 21 4 3 14 34:62 15
13 JFK Ventspils 21 3 6 12 21:41 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
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