Sport Picks
Valmiera vs JFK Ventspils - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Latvia
1. Liga 
AI Match Summary
Valmiera host JFK Ventspils in the 1. Liga. Valmiera are expected to control this from the start. Valmiera have averaged 2.55 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against JFK Ventspils's 1 scored and 1.83 conceded. Head-to-head, Valmiera have won 1 to JFK Ventspils's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (2.88 - 0.94) back Valmiera to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Valmiera come out ahead of JFK Ventspils on wins alone.
- Model gives Valmiera a 39% chance of winning this.
- Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valmiera | JFK Ventspils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 5 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.55 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.88 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Valmiera scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.
JFK Ventspils let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Valmiera stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Valmiera
(Home)JFK Ventspils
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Metta | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 96:18 | 60 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 63:26 | 53 |
| 3 | Leevon PPK | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 49:27 | 53 |
| 4 | Riga Mariners | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 54:30 | 50 |
| 5 | Alberts JDFS | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 46:33 | 41 |
| 6 | Marupe | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 37:34 | 33 |
| 7 | Riga FC 2 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 36:39 | 30 |
| 8 | Skanste | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 46:48 | 26 |
| 9 | Super Nova 2 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 30:36 | 26 |
| 10 | FK Smiltene | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 34:61 | 20 |
| 11 | Tukums 2000 2 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 31:65 | 19 |
| 12 | RFS 2 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 37:65 | 18 |
| 13 | JFK Ventspils | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21:45 | 16 |
| 14 | Rezekne | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 17:70 | 6 |
