Sport Picks

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Valmiera vs Marupe

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Valmiera Logo

Valmiera

4 - 1
FT
Marupe Logo

Marupe

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Kayramani F.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Buss R.
Assist: Yamamura T.
47' Event
Kayramani F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Valmiera in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valmiera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Valmiera
15%
Draws
24%
Marupe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Valmiera have won more games recently than Marupe.
  • Model gives Valmiera a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 20%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmiera Marupe
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 20 13
Draws 2 2
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 2.86 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 1. Liga
Valmiera vs Marupe
4:1
Apr 18, 2026 1. Liga
Marupe vs Valmiera
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmiera Compare

Top Goalscorer Buss R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kayramani F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Avdejevs D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 85 / 100
Marupe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmiera Marupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valmiera found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Marupe has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Valmiera went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valmiera VS Marupe
3 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmiera

(Home)
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
08 Aug
FK Smiltene
1 : 4
Valmiera
01 Aug
Valmiera
2 : 1
RFS 2
27 Jul
Valmiera
3 : 0
Riga FC 2
18 Jul
Skanste
0 : 3
Valmiera
Page 1 of 6

Marupe

(Away)
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
01 Aug
Skanste
4 : 2
Marupe
25 Jul
Rezekne
1 : 2
Marupe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 17 14 2 1 48:15 44
2 FK Metta 16 13 2 1 69:14 41
3 Leevon PPK 17 12 3 2 31:20 39
4 Riga Mariners 16 10 5 1 34:15 35
5 Alberts JDFS 17 9 4 4 35:24 31
6 Marupe 18 8 1 9 29:30 25
7 Super Nova 2 18 6 6 6 25:26 24
8 Skanste 17 6 2 9 31:33 20
9 Riga FC 2 16 6 2 8 23:30 20
10 Tukums 2000 2 16 3 3 10 21:45 12
11 RFS 2 17 3 3 11 23:48 12
12 JFK Ventspils 16 2 5 9 18:28 11
13 FK Smiltene 17 2 4 11 21:47 10
14 Rezekne 16 1 2 13 13:46 5
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