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Valmiera vs SK Babite

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2016 game between Valmiera and SK Babite finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SK Babite.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Valmiera
15%
Draws
32%
SK Babite
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • SK Babite haven't matched Valmiera's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Valmiera's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors SK Babite here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 20%
SK Babite Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmiera SK Babite
Matches Played 37 18
Wins 28 6
Draws 3 0
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 3.22 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2016 1. Liga
Valmiera vs SK Babite
1:2
Jul 6, 2016 Latvian Cup
SK Babite vs Valmiera
6:0
May 21, 2016 1. Liga
SK Babite vs Valmiera
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 85 / 100
SK Babite 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmiera SK Babite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valmiera found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (37 games).

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

SK Babite let in goals in 76% of their last 17 matches.

Valmiera went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valmiera VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmiera

(Home)
19 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 4
Riga Mariners
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
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SK Babite

(Away)
18 May
Riga United
6 : 0
SK Babite
17 Jul
Alberts JDFS
1 : 0
SK Babite
27 Jun
SK Babite
3 : 0
Dobele Allegro
16 Jun
Super Nova
2 : 1
SK Babite
29 May
AFA Olaine
1 : 5
SK Babite
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SK Babite 28 26 0 2 102:25 78
2 AFA Olaine 28 20 2 6 74:21 62
3 FK Auda Riga 28 20 1 7 79:42 61
4 Valmiera 28 19 0 9 81:29 57
5 Rezekne 28 18 1 9 103:47 55
6 Tukums 2000 28 16 2 10 100:59 50
7 FK Smiltene 28 15 3 10 74:47 48
8 Skonto 28 16 2 10 71:40 42
9 RTU 28 13 3 12 59:46 42
10 Bebri 28 10 2 16 48:73 32
11 Alberts JDFS 28 9 2 17 32:61 29
12 Ogre 28 7 1 20 37:70 22
13 Preilu BJSS 28 5 1 22 28:92 16
14 Jekabpils SC 28 4 2 22 32:138 14
15 Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS 28 1 0 27 13:143 3
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