Sport Picks
Match Events
88'
88'
Krasts R.
90'
90'
Kayramani F.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmiera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Valmiera come out ahead of Skanste on wins alone.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Valmiera taking it.
- Valmiera have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Valmiera, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 16%
Skanste Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valmiera | Skanste |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 21 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 3.07 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 1. Liga
Skanste vs Valmiera
0:3
May 30, 2026 Latvian Cup
Valmiera vs Skanste
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valmiera Compare
Top Goalscorer Krasts R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kayramani F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
Skanste Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valmiera 75 / 100
Skanste 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valmiera Skanste
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valmiera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Valmiera scored in 96% of their last 28 outings.
Skanste let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Valmiera stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Valmiera VS Skanste
3 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Valmiera
(Home) 30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6 Valmiera
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1 Marupe
08 Aug
FK Smiltene
1 : 4 Valmiera
01 Aug
Valmiera
2 : 1 RFS 2
27 Jul
Valmiera
3 : 0 Riga FC 2
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1 Marupe
01 Aug
Valmiera
2 : 1 RFS 2
27 Jul
Valmiera
3 : 0 Riga FC 2
12 Jul
Valmiera
2 : 4 Ogre United
05 Jul
Valmiera
4 : 1 Leevon PPK
Page 1 of 3
Skanste
(Away) 30 Aug
Skanste
6 : 2 Tukums 2000 2
23 Aug
Super Nova 2
1 : 1 Skanste
08 Aug
Skanste
5 : 1 Rezekne
01 Aug
Skanste
4 : 2 Marupe
25 Jul
Leevon PPK
2 : 1 Skanste
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Super Nova 2
1 : 1 Skanste
25 Jul
Leevon PPK
2 : 1 Skanste
04 Jul
FK Metta
3 : 1 Skanste
28 Jun
FK Smiltene
2 : 4 Skanste
30 May
Valmiera
2 : 0 Skanste
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
RFK/RFS 0
Riga Mariners 11
Iecava 0
Alberts JDFS 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 1
FK Smiltene 5
Valmiera 2
Skanste 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
JFC Viola 1
Marupe 2
Valka 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Upesciema Warriors 0
JFK Ventspils 3
DSVK Traktors 3
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Lielupe 0
FK Metta 6
Kekava-Auda 2
Rezekne 1
Saldus NSS 0
Salaspils FK 4
Speks 6
FK Union / JFK Daugava 0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners 1
Alberts JDFS 0
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 1
Valmiera 4
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Marupe 4
Aliance 2
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
JFK Ventspils 1
Leevon PPK 3
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Metta 5
Kekava-Auda 0
Salaspils FK 1
Speks 3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Valmiera 2
Ogre United 4
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Liepaja 0
Marupe 0
Grobina 1
Tukums 2000 1
Super Nova 2
RFS 2
Jelgava 0
Leevon PPK 2
Riga FC 3
FK Metta 3
Speks 1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils 3
Ogre United 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Grobina 2
Super Nova 0
RFS 1
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
Semi-finals
BFC Daugavpils 2
FK Auda Riga 3
RFS 2
Riga FC 3
Final
FK Auda Riga -
Riga FC -
