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Valmiera vs Skanste

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valmiera play Skanste in the Latvian Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Valmiera averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1 conceded. Skanste averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Valmiera won 1, Skanste won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Valmiera and 1.25 for Skanste. This points to a Valmiera double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Valmiera
6%
Draws
4%
Skanste
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Valmiera has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Skanste.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Valmiera.
  • Cup tournament structure in Latvian Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 19%
Skanste Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmiera Skanste
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 16 15
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Latvian Cup
Valmiera vs Skanste
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmiera Compare

Top Goalscorer Krasts R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kayramani F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Skanste Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 85 / 100
Skanste 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmiera Skanste

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valmiera scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Skanste let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Valmiera went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Skanste lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valmiera VS Skanste
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Upesciema Warriors0
JFK Ventspils3
DSVK Traktors3
Leevon PPK5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
Tukums 2000-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Super Nova-
Lielupe0
FK Metta6
Kekava-Auda2
Rezekne1
Saldus NSS0
Salaspils FK4
Speks6
FK Union / JFK Daugava0
LSPA1
FK Smiltene5
Valmiera2
Skanste0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ogre United-
RFK/RFS0
Riga Mariners11
Iecava0
Alberts JDFS5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
JFC Viola1
Marupe2
Valka1
Aliance5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
1/16-finals
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
JFK Ventspils1
Leevon PPK3
TBD-
Riga FC-
Tukums 2000-
TBD-
TBD-
Super Nova-
FK Metta5
Kekava-Auda0
Salaspils FK1
Speks3
FK Smiltene1
Valmiera4
TBD-
Ogre United-
Riga Mariners1
Alberts JDFS0
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
Marupe4
Aliance2
TBD-
Grobina-
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
1/8-finals
FK Auda Riga-
FK Liepaja-
Leevon PPK-
Riga FC-
Tukums 2000-
Super Nova-
FK Metta-
Speks-
Valmiera-
Ogre United-
Riga Mariners-
BFC Daugavpils-
Marupe-
Grobina-
RFS-
Jelgava-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-