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Valmiera vs Skanste - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Valmiera Logo

Valmiera

Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Skanste Logo

Skanste

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Valmiera host Skanste in the 1. Liga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Skanste have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while Valmiera have conceded 1.21 and scored 2.55. Head-to-head, Valmiera have won 2 to Skanste's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (2.38 xG vs 2.13) point toward Valmiera. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Valmiera
30%
Draws
23%
Skanste
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Valmiera have won more games recently than Skanste.
  • Win probability leans Valmiera's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 10%
Skanste Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmiera Skanste
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.55 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 1. Liga
Skanste vs Valmiera
0:3
May 30, 2026 Latvian Cup
Valmiera vs Skanste
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 47 / 100
Skanste 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmiera Skanste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Valmiera scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Skanste's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Valmiera has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valmiera VS Skanste
2.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmiera

(Home)
18 Oct
Valmiera
2 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
10 Oct
Valmiera
1 : 1
Super Nova 2
19 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 4
Riga Mariners
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
Page 1 of 6

Skanste

(Away)
17 Oct
Riga Mariners
4 : 3
Skanste
10 Oct
Skanste
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
20 Sept
JFK Ventspils
1 : 0
Skanste
14 Sept
RFS 2
3 : 4
Skanste
07 Sept
Riga FC 2
3 : 2
Skanste
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 23 19 3 1 96:18 60
2 Valmiera 23 16 5 2 63:26 53
3 Leevon PPK 23 16 5 2 49:27 53
4 Riga Mariners 23 15 5 3 54:30 50
5 Alberts JDFS 23 12 5 6 46:33 41
6 Marupe 23 10 3 10 37:34 33
7 Riga FC 2 23 8 6 9 36:39 30
8 Skanste 23 8 2 13 46:48 26
9 Super Nova 2 23 6 8 9 30:36 26
10 FK Smiltene 23 5 5 13 34:61 20
11 Tukums 2000 2 23 5 4 14 31:65 19
12 RFS 2 23 5 3 15 37:65 18
13 JFK Ventspils 23 3 7 13 21:45 16
14 Rezekne 23 1 3 19 17:70 6
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