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Valmontone vs Olbia Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Roberti F.
44' Event
Ragatzu D.
90'
Conte D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Valmontone
15%
Draws
31%
Olbia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmontone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valmontone lately — more wins on the board than Olbia.
  • Valmontone are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Valmontone Clean Sheet 16%
Olbia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmontone Olbia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 3 12
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Valmontone vs Olbia
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Olbia vs Valmontone
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmontone Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberti F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Olbia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ragatzu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmontone 84 / 100
Olbia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmontone Olbia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmontone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Olbia conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Valmontone found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Valmontone remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valmontone VS Olbia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmontone

(Home)
03 May
Real Monterotondo
0 : 5
Valmontone
26 Apr
Valmontone
0 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
19 Apr
Cassino
0 : 2
Valmontone
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Budoni Calcio
2 : 3
Valmontone
Page 1 of 6

Olbia

(Away)
10 May
Ischia
2 : 1
Olbia
03 May
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Olbia
26 Apr
Olbia
2 : 1
Anzio Calcio 1924
19 Apr
Olbia
3 : 2
Trastevere Calcio
12 Apr
Scafatese
4 : 1
Olbia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)