Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Chiarella L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmontone
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Very High Confidence
- Valmontone have won more games recently than Orvietana.
- Win probability leans Valmontone's way, sitting at 70%.
- Valmontone have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Valmontone, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Valmontone Clean Sheet 68%
Orvietana Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valmontone | Orvietana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 22, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Valmontone vs Orvietana
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Valmontone Compare
Top Goalscorer Chiarella L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Orvietana Compare
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Valmontone 77 / 100
Orvietana 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Valmontone Orvietana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Valmontone found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).
Recent resilience: Valmontone stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Orvietana conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Valmontone VS Orvietana
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Valmontone
(Home) 03 May
Real Monterotondo
0 : 5 Valmontone
26 Apr
Valmontone
0 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
19 Apr
Cassino
0 : 2 Valmontone
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2 Montespaccato
02 Apr
Budoni Calcio
2 : 3 Valmontone
Page 1 of 7
26 Apr
Valmontone
0 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2 Montespaccato
29 Mar
Valmontone
1 : 2 Palmese 1914
15 Mar
Valmontone
1 : 1 Anzio Calcio 1924
22 Feb
Valmontone
0 : 2 Scafatese
Page 1 of 3
Orvietana
(Away) 10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0 Poggibonsi
03 May
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 0 Orvietana
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
19 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
0 : 1 Orvietana
12 Apr
Orvietana
0 : 1 Scandicci
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 0 Orvietana
19 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
0 : 1 Orvietana
02 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0 Orvietana
22 Mar
Tau
2 : 1 Orvietana
15 Mar
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 Orvietana
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
