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Valtierrano vs Cirbonero

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Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017 game between Valtierrano and Cirbonero finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cirbonero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Valtierrano
30%
Draws
58%
Cirbonero
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cirbonero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Cirbonero carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cirbonero a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Valtierrano Clean Sheet 19%
Cirbonero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valtierrano Cirbonero
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 23 11
Goals Scored 0.8 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valtierrano vs Cirbonero
1:3
Nov 27, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Valtierrano
2:0
Feb 7, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valtierrano vs Cirbonero
0:0
Sep 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Valtierrano
2:1
May 3, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valtierrano vs Cirbonero
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valtierrano 10 / 100
Cirbonero 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valtierrano Cirbonero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cirbonero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cirbonero let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Valtierrano scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Valtierrano remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cirbonero
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valtierrano

(Home)
13 May
CD Corellano
5 : 0
Valtierrano
06 May
Valtierrano
0 : 0
Txantrea
29 Apr
Oberena
3 : 0
Valtierrano
22 Apr
Valtierrano
1 : 3
Cirbonero
13 Apr
Idoya
3 : 0
Valtierrano
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Cirbonero

(Away)
09 May
Cirbonero
2 : 0
Valle Egues
03 May
Huarte
2 : 0
Cirbonero
26 Apr
Cirbonero
2 : 2
Cortes
19 Apr
Oberena
0 : 0
Cirbonero
12 Apr
Cirbonero
1 : 3
Izarra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 38 25 7 6 73:35 82
2 Iruna 38 24 7 7 66:32 79
3 Cirbonero 38 23 8 7 65:30 77
4 Cortes 38 19 7 12 51:35 64
5 Oberena 38 19 6 13 54:45 63
6 AD San Juan 38 16 14 8 60:42 62
7 Burlades 38 15 14 9 51:50 59
8 Idoya 38 17 6 15 51:47 57
9 Huarte 38 13 13 12 39:36 52
10 Txantrea 38 14 10 14 63:56 52
11 Subiza 38 14 8 16 65:62 50
12 CD Cantolagua 38 14 7 17 44:47 49
13 Valle Egues 38 12 9 17 51:49 45
14 CD River Ega 38 14 3 21 52:77 45
15 Pamplona 38 11 11 16 47:52 44
16 CD Corellano 38 11 11 16 49:56 44
17 CD Ardoi 38 11 11 16 39:46 44
18 CD Lourdes 38 10 10 18 37:56 40
19 Erriberri 38 7 8 23 27:69 29
20 Valtierrano 38 2 8 28 30:92 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)