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Valur vs Volsungur

Iceland Iceland

League Cup
Sun, Mar 1, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valur host Volsungur in the League Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Volsungur have shipped 2.5 goals a game lately, while Valur have conceded 1.88 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Valur slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.81) point toward Valur. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Valur
28%
Draws
22%
Volsungur
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Valur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valur lately — more wins on the board than Volsungur.
  • Valur are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Cup games in League Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Valur have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Valur Clean Sheet 11%
Volsungur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valur Volsungur
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 9 4
Draws 2 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 League Cup
Valur vs Volsungur
0:0
Aug 11, 2021 Icelandic Cup
Valur vs Volsungur
6:0
Mar 17, 2013 League Cup
Volsungur vs Valur
0:4
Aug 14, 2004 Division 1
Valur vs Volsungur
2:0
Jun 8, 2004 Division 1
Volsungur vs Valur
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valur 47 / 100
Volsungur 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valur Volsungur

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Volsungur has conceded goals in 88% of their last 26 outings.

Valur scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Valur has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valur VS Volsungur
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stjarnan541017:613
2Keflavik531113:1010
3Kopavogur531110:1210
4Fram520317:116
5Vestri511310:144
6Aegir50053:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thor Akureyri431014:310
2Akranes42117:57
3Valur42028:76
4Afturelding42024:106
5Grotta40042:100
6Volsungur00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KR Reykjavik531116:610
2Vikingur Reykjavik53116:310
3Njardvik52218:98
4IR Reykjavik521211:137
5KA Akureyri51135:74
6Grindavik50235:132
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fylkir540113:512
2Throttur430111:89
3Leiknir Reykjavik52037:136
4Hafnarfjordur51138:64
5IBV Vestmannaeyjar31115:54
6Breidablik41033:103