Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valur W vs Hafnarfjordur W

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women Hlíðarendi Stadium, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Errington H.
Assist: Magnusdottir I.
14' Event
Ingadottir S.
16' Event
Bjornsdottir B.
Assist: Errington H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Besta deild Women matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Valur W
30%
Draws
33%
Hafnarfjordur W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valur W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Hafnarfjordur W have won more games recently than Valur W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Besta deild Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Valur W Clean Sheet 14%
Hafnarfjordur W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valur W Hafnarfjordur W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.18 2.9
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Hafnarfjordur W
2:2
Jun 23, 2026 Besta deild Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Valur W
1:1
Sep 25, 2025 Besta deild Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Valur W
1:1
Jul 29, 2025 Icelandic Cup Women
Valur W vs Hafnarfjordur W
2:3
Jun 21, 2025 Besta deild Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Valur W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valur W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingadottir S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hlynsdottir L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hafnarfjordur W Compare

Top Goalscorer Errington H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bjornsdottir B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valur W 30 / 100
Hafnarfjordur W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valur W Hafnarfjordur W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valur W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hafnarfjordur W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Valur W found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Valur W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valur W VS Hafnarfjordur W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valur W

(Home)
25 Sept
Valur W
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik W
19 Sept
Valur W
0 : 1
Thor/KA W
06 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 : 4
Valur W
30 Aug
Valur W
2 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
21 Aug
Thor/KA W
0 : 1
Valur W
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Hafnarfjordur W

(Away)
23 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
0 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W
18 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
1 : 0
Stjarnan W
06 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
2 : 1
Thor/KA W
02 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
0 : 1
Apollon Limassol W
30 Aug
Valur W
2 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 18 12 1 5 46:21 37
2 Hafnarfjordur W 18 11 4 3 56:32 37
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 18 8 3 7 31:34 27
4 Stjarnan W 18 7 5 6 31:27 26
5 Throttur W 18 6 5 7 24:27 23
6 Grindavik/Njardvik W 18 6 4 8 25:33 22
7 Fram W 18 7 1 10 28:43 22
8 Valur W 18 5 5 8 22:31 20
9 Vikingur Reykjavik W 18 6 2 10 27:38 20
10 Thor/KA W 18 5 4 9 24:28 19
Promotion - Besta deild Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild Women (Relegation Group)