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Stadium Background

Valur W vs Stjarnan W

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women Hlíðarendi Stadium, Reykjavík
Valur W Logo

Valur W

1 - 1
FT
Stjarnan W Logo

Stjarnan W

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Hjaltadottir T.
Assist: Palsdottir A.
44'
Ragnarsdottir I.
46'
Sub
Thorvaldsdottir A. In: Arnarsdottir H.
Out: Thorvaldsdottir A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Besta deild Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Valur W
15%
Draws
26%
Stjarnan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valur W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Stjarnan W have won more games recently than Valur W.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Valur W taking it.
  • Regular Besta deild Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Valur W Clean Sheet 10%
Stjarnan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valur W Stjarnan W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.14 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Stjarnan W
1:1
Apr 29, 2026 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Valur W
2:0
Oct 6, 2025 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Stjarnan W
1:3
Aug 13, 2025 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Stjarnan W
4:2
May 3, 2025 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Valur W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valur W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kristinsdottir M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Stjarnan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hjaltadottir T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valur W 56 / 100
Stjarnan W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valur W Stjarnan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valur W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Valur W scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Stjarnan W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Valur W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valur W VS Stjarnan W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Valur W

(Home)
19 Sept
Valur W
0 : 1
Thor/KA W
06 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 : 4
Valur W
30 Aug
Valur W
2 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
21 Aug
Thor/KA W
0 : 1
Valur W
12 Aug
Throttur W
3 : 2
Valur W
Page 1 of 6

Stjarnan W

(Away)
18 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
1 : 0
Stjarnan W
07 Sept
Stjarnan W
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik W
29 Aug
Fram W
3 : 2
Stjarnan W
20 Aug
Stjarnan W
2 : 0
Breidablik W
13 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
3 : 2
Stjarnan W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 18 12 1 5 46:21 37
2 Hafnarfjordur W 18 11 4 3 56:32 37
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 18 8 3 7 31:34 27
4 Stjarnan W 18 7 5 6 31:27 26
5 Throttur W 18 6 5 7 24:27 23
6 Grindavik/Njardvik W 18 6 4 8 25:33 22
7 Fram W 18 7 1 10 28:43 22
8 Valur W 18 5 5 8 22:31 20
9 Vikingur Reykjavik W 18 6 2 10 27:38 20
10 Thor/KA W 18 5 4 9 24:28 19
Promotion - Besta deild Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild Women (Relegation Group)