Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valur W vs Thor/KA W

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women
Our Tip

Match Events

64'
Kristinsdottir M.
65'
Sub
Tryggvadottir I. In: Kristinsdottir K.
Out: Tryggvadottir I.
65' Event
Arnadottir M.
Assist: Jonsdottir H.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild Women game between Valur W and Thor/KA W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thor/KA W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Valur W
20%
Draws
40%
Thor/KA W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Valur W haven't matched Thor/KA W's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Valur W taking it.
  • Regular Besta deild Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Valur W Clean Sheet 11%
Thor/KA W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valur W Thor/KA W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.14 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Thor/KA W
0:1
Aug 21, 2026 Besta deild Women
Thor/KA W vs Valur W
0:1
Jun 13, 2026 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Thor/KA W
0:0
Aug 7, 2025 Besta deild Women
Thor/KA W vs Valur W
1:2
Apr 27, 2025 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Thor/KA W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valur W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Thor/KA W Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnadottir M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valur W 40 / 100
Thor/KA W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valur W Thor/KA W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Valur W scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Thor/KA W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Valur W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valur W VS Thor/KA W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valur W

(Home)
19 Sept
Valur W
0 : 1
Thor/KA W
06 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 : 4
Valur W
30 Aug
Valur W
2 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
21 Aug
Thor/KA W
0 : 1
Valur W
12 Aug
Throttur W
3 : 2
Valur W
Page 1 of 6

Thor/KA W

(Away)
19 Sept
Valur W
0 : 1
Thor/KA W
06 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
2 : 1
Thor/KA W
29 Aug
Throttur W
0 : 0
Thor/KA W
21 Aug
Thor/KA W
0 : 1
Valur W
14 Aug
Vikingur Reykjavik W
0 : 3
Thor/KA W
Page 1 of 6