Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valur W vs Vikingur Reykjavik W

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women Hlíðarendi Stadium, Reykjavík
Valur W Logo

Valur W

1 - 0
FT
Vikingur Reykjavik W Logo

Vikingur Reykjavik W

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Hawkins E.
Assist: Arnarsdottir A.
46'
Sub
Thorhallsdottir T. In: Rhode T.
Out: Thorhallsdottir T.
46'
Sub
Johnson K. In: Sigfusdottir T.
Out: Johnson K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Valur W in this Besta deild Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valur W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Valur W
35%
Draws
38%
Vikingur Reykjavik W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vikingur Reykjavik W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vikingur Reykjavik W lately — more wins on the board than Valur W.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Valur W Clean Sheet 12%
Vikingur Reykjavik W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valur W Vikingur Reykjavik W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.18 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.64 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Vikingur Reykjavik W
1:1
Aug 7, 2026 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Vikingur Reykjavik W
1:0
May 25, 2026 Besta deild Women
Vikingur Reykjavik W vs Valur W
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 League Cup Women
Vikingur Reykjavik W vs Valur W
1:0
Sep 30, 2025 Besta deild Women
Vikingur Reykjavik W vs Valur W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valur W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hawkins E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Vikingur Reykjavik W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valur W 30 / 100
Vikingur Reykjavik W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valur W Vikingur Reykjavik W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valur W scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Vikingur Reykjavik W conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Valur W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valur W VS Vikingur Reykjavik W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Valur W

(Home)
25 Sept
Valur W
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik W
19 Sept
Valur W
0 : 1
Thor/KA W
06 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 : 4
Valur W
30 Aug
Valur W
2 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
21 Aug
Thor/KA W
0 : 1
Valur W
Page 1 of 6

Vikingur Reykjavik W

(Away)
25 Sept
Valur W
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik W
18 Sept
Fram W
2 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik W
07 Sept
Stjarnan W
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik W
29 Aug
Vikingur Reykjavik W
3 : 0
Grindavik/Njardvik W
21 Aug
Hafnarfjordur W
0 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 18 12 1 5 46:21 37
2 Hafnarfjordur W 18 11 4 3 56:32 37
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 18 8 3 7 31:34 27
4 Stjarnan W 18 7 5 6 31:27 26
5 Throttur W 18 6 5 7 24:27 23
6 Grindavik/Njardvik W 18 6 4 8 25:33 22
7 Fram W 18 7 1 10 28:43 22
8 Valur W 18 5 5 8 22:31 20
9 Vikingur Reykjavik W 18 6 2 10 27:38 20
10 Thor/KA W 18 5 4 9 24:28 19
Promotion - Besta deild Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild Women (Relegation Group)