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Van vs FC Gandzasar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Armenian Cup
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Armenian Cup. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Van at 0.78 goals for, 1.85 against; FC Gandzasar at 0.86 for, 1.86 against. Past meetings favor Van slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 10, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.38) point toward Van. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Van
15%
Draws
0%
FC Gandzasar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Van

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Van have won more games recently than FC Gandzasar.
  • Van are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Van have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Van, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Van Clean Sheet 17%
FC Gandzasar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Van FC Gandzasar
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 4
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.78 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Premier League
Van vs FC Gandzasar
2:0
May 2, 2026 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Van
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Van vs FC Gandzasar
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League
Van vs FC Gandzasar
2:1
Sep 12, 2025 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Van
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Van 75 / 100
FC Gandzasar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Van FC Gandzasar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Van Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gandzasar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

FC Gandzasar's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Van scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Van VS FC Gandzasar
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Van

(Home)
17 Oct
Urartu
5 : 2
Van
10 Oct
Van
2 : 0
FC Gandzasar
18 Sept
Noah
2 : 0
Van
11 Sept
Van
2 : 1
BKMA
03 Sept
Alashkert
4 : 0
Van
Page 1 of 6

FC Gandzasar

(Away)
16 Oct
FC Gandzasar
1 : 2
Sardarapat
10 Oct
Van
2 : 0
FC Gandzasar
18 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
Urartu
12 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
04 Sept
Noah
3 : 2
FC Gandzasar
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Hayq -
Olympia Yerevan -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
Mika 4
Bentonit 3
Araks Ararat 4
Cilicia 2
Alashkert -
TBD -
TBD -
BKMA -
Noah -
TBD -
Sardarapat 1
Syunik 2
Pyunik Yerevan -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat Yerevan -
Lernayin Artsakh 5
EcoVille 0
TBD -
Shirak Gyumri -
Urartu -
TBD -
Andranik 5
Echmiadzin 0
Van -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Gandzasar -
1/8-finals
Olympia Yerevan -
Ararat-Armenia -
Mika -
Araks Ararat -
Alashkert -
BKMA -
Noah -
Syunik -
Pyunik Yerevan -
Ararat Yerevan -
Lernayin Artsakh -
Shirak Gyumri -
Urartu -
Andranik -
Van -
FC Gandzasar -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -