Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vancouver FC vs CF Montreal

Canada Canada

Championship Willoughby Community Park Stadium, Langley, BC
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Escobar O. In: Synchuk G.
Out: Escobar O.
54' Event
Mezquida N.
Assist: Pecile D.
63' Event
Campagna M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

CF Montreal in this Championship tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Vancouver FC
6%
Draws
4%
CF Montreal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vancouver FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CF Montreal lately — more wins on the board than Vancouver FC.
  • Model gives Vancouver FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • CF Montreal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CF Montreal, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 20%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver FC CF Montreal
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Championship
CF Montreal vs Vancouver FC
2:1
Jul 9, 2026 Championship
Vancouver FC vs CF Montreal
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vancouver FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mezquida N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

CF Montreal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver FC 85 / 100
CF Montreal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver FC CF Montreal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CF Montreal conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Vancouver FC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Vancouver FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver FC VS CF Montreal
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vancouver FC

(Home)
25 Jul
Vancouver FC
1 : 0
Cavalry
17 Jul
Supra du Quebec
1 : 5
Vancouver FC
12 Jul
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver FC
09 Jul
Vancouver FC
1 : 2
CF Montreal
04 Jul
Vancouver FC
4 : 0
Inter Toronto
Page 1 of 6

CF Montreal

(Away)
25 Jul
CF Montreal
0 : 1
Inter Miami
23 Jul
Nashville SC
1 : 0
CF Montreal
16 Jul
CF Montreal
0 : 0
Toronto FC
12 Jul
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver FC
09 Jul
Vancouver FC
1 : 2
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
TBD-
Pacific FC1
Cavalry3
CF Montreal5
Calgary Blizzard SC0
Vancouver FC2
Langley United SA0
Forge FC4
HFX Wanderers0
Inter Toronto0
CS Saint-Laurent1
Toronto FC1
Atletico Ottawa3
Supra du Quebec3
Woodbridge Strikers1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps5
Cavalry2
CF Montreal4
Vancouver FC2
Forge FC3
CS Saint-Laurent2
Atletico Ottawa1
Supra du Quebec3
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
CF Montreal-
Forge FC-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-