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Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League Willoughby Community Park Stadium, Langley, BC
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Amissi M.
Assist: Pecile D.
14' Event
Mousset L.
(Penalty)
22'
Mousset L.

AI Match Summary

Vancouver FC in this Canadian Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vancouver FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Vancouver FC
35%
Draws
41%
Atletico Ottawa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico Ottawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Ottawa have won more games recently than Vancouver FC.
  • 24% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 14%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver FC Atletico Ottawa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC
4:0
Aug 1, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa
3:1
Jun 6, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vancouver FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Amissi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pecile D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Atletico Ottawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnaud T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver FC 30 / 100
Atletico Ottawa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver FC Atletico Ottawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vancouver FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ottawa has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Vancouver FC found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Vancouver FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver FC VS Atletico Ottawa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vancouver FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Supra du Quebec
2 : 2
Vancouver FC
26 Sept
Vancouver FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
24 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 3
Inter Toronto
20 Sept
Pacific FC
1 : 1
Vancouver FC
13 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Vancouver FC
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Atletico Ottawa

(Away)
30 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 2
Cavalry
26 Sept
HFX Wanderers
0 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
12 Sept
Forge FC
3 : 0
Atletico Ottawa
05 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 0
Pacific FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 25 15 6 4 41:20 51
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 26 9 7 10 37:35 34
5 Supra du Quebec 26 9 5 12 40:47 32
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 25 6 9 10 40:56 27
8 Pacific FC 25 2 8 15 30:55 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)