Sport Picks

Canada

Canadian Premier League 2025 Willoughby Community Park Stadium

Cavalry

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vancouver FC play Cavalry in the Canadian Premier League 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vancouver FC averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. Cavalry averaged 2 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Vancouver FC won 1, Cavalry won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 18, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Vancouver FC and 1.81 for Cavalry. This points to a Cavalry double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%

Vancouver FC

29%

Draws

46%

Cavalry

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Cavalry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Vancouver FC picked up more points recently compared to Cavalry.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 11%

Cavalry Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vancouver FC	Cavalry
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	7	15
Draws	6	7
Losses	14	6
Goals Scored	1.3	2
Goals Conceded	1.74	1.14
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Canadian Premier League

Vancouver FC vs Cavalry

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 3 - 0

0:2

Oct 18, 2025 Canadian Premier League

Vancouver FC vs Cavalry

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Aug 17, 2025 Canadian Premier League

Cavalry vs Vancouver FC

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

5:4

Jul 14, 2025 Canadian Premier League

Vancouver FC vs Cavalry

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Jul 9, 2025 Championship

Cavalry vs Vancouver FC

Possession: 50% - 48% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vancouver FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pathe N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Cavalry Compare

Top Goalscorer Myroniuk N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Elva C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver FC 25 / 100

Cavalry 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vancouver FC Cavalry

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cavalry or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +47%

5.88

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vancouver FC attacking → ← attacking Cavalry

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vancouver FC scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Cavalry let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Vancouver FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cavalry lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 52

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Forge FC	28	16	10	2	51:22	58
2	Atletico Ottawa	28	15	11	2	54:28	56
3	Cavalry	28	11	9	8	47:36	42
4	HFX Wanderers	28	11	6	11	41:34	39
5	Inter Toronto	28	10	8	10	43:38	38
6	Valour	28	7	5	16	35:62	26
7	Pacific FC	28	5	8	15	30:59	23
8	Vancouver FC	28	4	9	15	35:57	21