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Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League Willoughby Community Park Stadium, Langley, BC
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vancouver FC host HFX Wanderers in the Canadian Premier League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Vancouver FC have averaged 1.39 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against HFX Wanderers's 1.43 scored and 1.75 conceded. Past meetings favor HFX Wanderers slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.94) point toward Vancouver FC. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Vancouver FC
35%
Draws
35%
HFX Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Vancouver FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives HFX Wanderers a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 10%
HFX Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver FC HFX Wanderers
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.39 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC
1:0
May 30, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers
3:1
Aug 4, 2025 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver FC 22 / 100
HFX Wanderers 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver FC HFX Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HFX Wanderers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vancouver FC's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: HFX Wanderers conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Vancouver FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver FC VS HFX Wanderers
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vancouver FC

(Home)
26 Sept
Vancouver FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
24 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 3
Inter Toronto
20 Sept
Pacific FC
1 : 1
Vancouver FC
13 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Vancouver FC
06 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 2
Supra du Quebec
Page 1 of 6

HFX Wanderers

(Away)
03 Oct
Forge FC
3 : 3
HFX Wanderers
26 Sept
HFX Wanderers
0 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
20 Sept
HFX Wanderers
4 : 1
Inter Toronto
12 Sept
Supra du Quebec
0 : 2
HFX Wanderers
07 Sept
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Cavalry
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 25 15 6 4 41:20 51
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 25 9 6 10 35:33 33
5 Supra du Quebec 25 9 4 12 38:45 31
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 25 6 9 10 40:56 27
8 Pacific FC 25 2 8 15 30:55 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)