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Vancouver Whitecaps vs Cavalry

Canada Canada

Championship Swangard Stadium, Burnaby, BC
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Pearlman A.
Own Goal
45' Event
Klomp D.
45'
Blackmon T.

AI Match Summary

Vancouver Whitecaps in this Championship tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vancouver Whitecaps
30%
Draws
34%
Cavalry
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vancouver Whitecaps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vancouver Whitecaps lately — more wins on the board than Cavalry.
  • Win probability leans Vancouver Whitecaps's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cavalry, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 12%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver Whitecaps Cavalry
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Championship
Cavalry vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:1
Jul 9, 2026 Championship
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Cavalry
4:1
May 22, 2024 Championship
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Cavalry
0:1
May 8, 2024 Championship
Cavalry vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:2
May 26, 2022 Championship
Cavalry vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vancouver Whitecaps Compare

Top Goalscorer Muller T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader White B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cavalry Compare

Top Goalscorer Klomp D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver Whitecaps 35 / 100
Cavalry 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver Whitecaps Cavalry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vancouver Whitecaps scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Cavalry has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Vancouver Whitecaps stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver Whitecaps VS Cavalry
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vancouver Whitecaps

(Home)
14 Jul
Cavalry
1 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
09 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps
4 : 1
Cavalry
24 May
San Diego FC
2 : 4
Vancouver Whitecaps
17 May
Houston Dynamo
1 : 0
Vancouver Whitecaps
14 May
FC Dallas
2 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
Page 1 of 6

Cavalry

(Away)
18 Jul
Cavalry
1 : 1
HFX Wanderers
14 Jul
Cavalry
1 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
09 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps
4 : 1
Cavalry
04 Jul
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 3
Cavalry
10 Jun
Inter Toronto
1 : 5
Cavalry
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
TBD-
Pacific FC1
Cavalry3
CF Montreal5
Calgary Blizzard SC0
Vancouver FC2
Langley United SA0
Forge FC4
HFX Wanderers0
Inter Toronto0
CS Saint-Laurent1
Toronto FC1
Atletico Ottawa3
Supra du Quebec3
Woodbridge Strikers1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps5
Cavalry2
CF Montreal4
Vancouver FC2
Forge FC3
CS Saint-Laurent2
Atletico Ottawa1
Supra du Quebec3
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
CF Montreal-
Forge FC-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-