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Stadium Background

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Cavalry

Canada Canada

Championship Swangard Stadium, Burnaby, BC
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Pearlman A.
Own Goal
45' Event
Klomp D.
45'
Blackmon T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Vancouver Whitecaps
20%
Draws
61%
Cavalry
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cavalry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cavalry lately — more wins on the board than Vancouver Whitecaps.
  • Win probability leans Cavalry's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Cavalry arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cavalry, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 20%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver Whitecaps Cavalry
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.75 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Championship
Cavalry vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:1
Jul 9, 2026 Championship
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Cavalry
4:1
May 22, 2024 Championship
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Cavalry
0:1
May 8, 2024 Championship
Cavalry vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:2
May 26, 2022 Championship
Cavalry vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vancouver Whitecaps Compare

Top Goalscorer Muller T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader White B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Cavalry Compare

Top Goalscorer Klomp D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver Whitecaps 20 / 100
Cavalry 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver Whitecaps Cavalry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavalry Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vancouver Whitecaps scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Cavalry has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Vancouver Whitecaps stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver Whitecaps VS Cavalry
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vancouver Whitecaps

(Home)
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2
Austin FC
10 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 0
Los Angeles Galaxy
06 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 3
St. Louis City
03 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 1
CF Montreal
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Cavalry

(Away)
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
13 Sept
Pacific FC
0 : 1
Cavalry
07 Sept
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Cavalry
29 Aug
Cavalry
1 : 0
Vancouver FC
22 Aug
Cavalry
3 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps -
TBD -
Pacific FC 1
Cavalry 3
CF Montreal 5
Calgary Blizzard SC 0
Vancouver FC 2
Langley United SA 0
Forge FC 4
HFX Wanderers 0
Inter Toronto 0
CS Saint-Laurent 1
Toronto FC 1
Atletico Ottawa 3
Supra du Quebec 3
Woodbridge Strikers 1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps 5
Cavalry 2
CF Montreal 4
Vancouver FC 2
Forge FC 3
CS Saint-Laurent 2
Atletico Ottawa 4
Supra du Quebec 6
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
CF Montreal 3
Forge FC 2
Supra du Quebec 1
Final
CF Montreal -
Forge FC -