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Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS BC Place, Vancouver, BC
Vancouver Whitecaps Logo

Vancouver Whitecaps

4 - 1
FT
San Diego FC Logo

San Diego FC

Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Duah M.
24' Event
Cvetkovic A.
Assist: Laborda M.
41' Event
White B.
Assist: Larraz O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vancouver Whitecaps in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vancouver Whitecaps.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vancouver Whitecaps
35%
Draws
18%
San Diego FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vancouver Whitecaps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vancouver Whitecaps lately — more wins on the board than San Diego FC.
  • Model gives Vancouver Whitecaps a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 13%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver Whitecaps San Diego FC
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.78 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2026 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC
4:1
May 24, 2026 MLS
San Diego FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2:4
Nov 30, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:3
Jul 20, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:1
Jun 26, 2025 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vancouver Whitecaps Compare

Top Goalscorer Cvetkovic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader White B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

San Diego FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Valakari O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver Whitecaps 84 / 100
San Diego FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver Whitecaps San Diego FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vancouver Whitecaps Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vancouver Whitecaps's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

San Diego FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Vancouver Whitecaps went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver Whitecaps VS San Diego FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Vancouver Whitecaps

(Home)
29 Oct
Vancouver Whitecaps
4 : 1
San Diego FC
25 Oct
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
Vancouver Whitecaps
18 Oct
Austin FC
1 : 2
Vancouver Whitecaps
15 Oct
St. Louis City
0 : 0
Vancouver Whitecaps
11 Oct
Los Angeles FC
1 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
Page 1 of 7

San Diego FC

(Away)
29 Oct
Vancouver Whitecaps
4 : 1
San Diego FC
25 Oct
San Diego FC
2 : 2
Seattle Sounders
18 Oct
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 2
San Diego FC
15 Oct
San Diego FC
3 : 3
Houston Dynamo
10 Oct
New York Red Bulls
4 : 1
San Diego FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 32 17 7 8 67:33 58
2 FC Dallas 32 15 9 8 58:49 54
3 St. Louis City 32 14 9 9 58:47 51
4 Houston Dynamo 32 14 9 9 42:39 51
5 San Jose Earthquakes 32 13 10 9 54:47 49
6 Los Angeles FC 32 12 11 9 50:35 47
7 Colorado Rapids 32 12 7 13 44:43 43
8 Seattle Sounders 32 11 10 11 41:40 43
9 Real Salt Lake 32 12 6 14 50:49 42
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 32 10 11 11 45:54 41
11 Portland Timbers 32 11 7 14 57:60 40
12 Minnesota United 32 9 11 12 50:56 38
13 San Diego FC 32 8 11 13 56:62 35
14 Austin FC 32 8 10 14 41:59 34
15 Sporting Kansas City 32 6 4 22 38:80 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 32 21 8 3 66:23 71
2 New England Revolution 32 18 4 10 54:44 58
3 Inter Miami 32 15 11 6 75:55 56
4 Chicago Fire 32 15 7 10 57:48 52
5 Charlotte FC 32 14 8 10 59:48 50
6 Philadelphia Union 32 13 8 11 62:50 47
7 Orlando City 32 12 7 13 62:74 43
8 FC Cincinnati 32 11 10 11 66:73 43
9 Columbus Crew 32 12 5 15 52:49 41
10 New York Red Bulls 32 11 6 15 43:59 39
11 Toronto FC 32 9 12 11 50:60 39
12 New York City 32 9 11 12 47:44 38
13 DC United 32 7 12 13 39:57 33
14 Atlanta United 32 8 6 18 40:56 30
15 CF Montreal 32 6 7 19 36:66 25
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)