Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vandra Vaprus vs Raasiku Joker

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vandra Vaprus play Raasiku Joker in the Esiliiga B 2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vandra Vaprus averaged 1.88 goals scored and 2.41 conceded. Raasiku Joker averaged 1.83 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. In past meetings, Vandra Vaprus won 4, Raasiku Joker won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 29, 2017 ended 8:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.50 for Vandra Vaprus and 2.13 for Raasiku Joker. This points to a Vandra Vaprus double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Vandra Vaprus
15%
Draws
32%
Raasiku Joker
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vandra Vaprus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Vandra Vaprus picked up more points recently compared to Raasiku Joker.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.50 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Vandra Vaprus Clean Sheet 10%
Raasiku Joker Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vandra Vaprus Raasiku Joker
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.41 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2017 Esiliiga B
Vandra Vaprus vs Raasiku Joker
8:2
Jul 12, 2017 Esiliiga B
Raasiku Joker vs Vandra Vaprus
0:2
Jul 2, 2017 Esiliiga B
Vandra Vaprus vs Raasiku Joker
4:2
Mar 12, 2017 Esiliiga B
Raasiku Joker vs Vandra Vaprus
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vandra Vaprus 50 / 100
Raasiku Joker 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vandra Vaprus Raasiku Joker

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vandra Vaprus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Vandra Vaprus & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vandra Vaprus attacking → ← attacking Raasiku Joker

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vandra Vaprus scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Raasiku Joker let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.25 goals.

Vandra Vaprus went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Raasiku Joker lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 31
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kalju U2136208872:4368
2Tallinna Kalev U21361971071:4064
3Vandra Vaprus361951275:6762
4Keila JK361861274:5660
5FC Alliance361561555:4851
6Tammeka Tartu II361471569:6349
7Raasiku Joker361371658:7346
8Viimsi JK361371655:6346
9Paide Linnameeskond U2136972050:7934
10Sillamae Kalev II36842438:8528