Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vanersborgs FK vs Stenungsunds IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Alkhafaji M.
37' Event
Ottosson O.
45' Event
Eriksson J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Vanersborgs FK and Stenungsunds IF finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stenungsunds IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vanersborgs FK
33%
Draws
27%
Stenungsunds IF
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Vanersborgs FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Stenungsunds IF haven't matched Vanersborgs FK's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vanersborgs FK a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 10%
Stenungsunds IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs FK Stenungsunds IF
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Stenungsunds IF
2:4
Sep 27, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Stenungsunds IF
1:0
May 25, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Vanersborgs FK
1:3
Oct 13, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Vanersborgs FK
1:1
Jun 16, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Stenungsunds IF
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Alkhafaji M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vitija A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Stenungsunds IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Eriksson J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ottosson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs FK 38 / 100
Stenungsunds IF 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs FK Stenungsunds IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VFK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanersborgs FK found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Stenungsunds IF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Away concern: Stenungsunds IF has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs FK VS Stenungsunds IF
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanersborgs FK

(Home)
27 Jun
Motala
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
18 Jun
Vanersborgs FK
2 : 4
Stenungsunds IF
14 Jun
Husqvarna
3 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
05 Jun
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 3
Skara
29 May
Vanersborgs FK
2 : 3
Grebbestad
Page 1 of 6

Stenungsunds IF

(Away)
25 Jul
Trollhattan
3 : 1
Stenungsunds IF
18 Jul
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 3
Utsikten
26 Jun
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 0
Stenungsunds IF
18 Jun
Vanersborgs FK
2 : 4
Stenungsunds IF
12 Jun
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 4
Ahlafors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)