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Vanersborgs IF vs IFK Skovde - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vanersborgs IF host IFK Skovde in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Vanersborgs IF at 1.29 goals for, 2.86 against; IFK Skovde at 1.66 for, 1.34 against. Head-to-head, Vanersborgs IF have won 0 to IFK Skovde's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 6:2. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 2.19, favoring IFK Skovde. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vanersborgs IF
15%
Draws
85%
IFK Skovde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Skovde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vanersborgs IF haven't matched IFK Skovde's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on IFK Skovde taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • IFK Skovde have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 10%
IFK Skovde Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs IF IFK Skovde
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.86 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
IFK Skovde vs Vanersborgs IF
6:2
Aug 2, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
IFK Skovde vs Vanersborgs IF
3:1
Mar 28, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs IFK Skovde
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs IF 10 / 100
IFK Skovde 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs IF IFK Skovde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Skovde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Vanersborgs IF's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

IFK Skovde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

IFK Skovde's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs IF VS IFK Skovde
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanersborgs IF

(Home)
03 Oct
Husqvarna
4 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
20 Sept
Lidkoping
5 : 2
Vanersborgs IF
11 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Grebbestad
06 Sept
Skara
5 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
Page 1 of 6

IFK Skovde

(Away)
09 Oct
IFK Skovde
0 : 1
Skara
03 Oct
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 3
IFK Skovde
27 Sept
IFK Skovde
1 : 0
Karlstad II
18 Sept
Husqvarna
1 : 0
IFK Skovde
12 Sept
IFK Skovde
1 : 0
Tord
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 24 16 5 3 51:26 53
3 IFK Skovde 24 14 5 5 42:25 47
4 Ahlafors 24 12 7 5 55:28 43
5 Grebbestad 24 12 3 9 43:36 39
6 Herrestads AIF 24 10 7 7 44:42 37
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 25 8 5 12 33:43 29
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 24 6 8 10 35:38 26
11 Kumla 25 6 8 11 26:45 26
12 Tord 24 4 9 11 29:43 21
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)