Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vanersborgs IF vs Karlstad II

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vanersborgs IF play Karlstad II in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vanersborgs IF averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2.88 conceded. Karlstad II averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Vanersborgs IF won 1, Karlstad II won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Vanersborgs IF and 1.88 for Karlstad II. This points to a Karlstad II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vanersborgs IF
39%
Draws
30%
Karlstad II
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Karlstad II has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vanersborgs IF.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 2 - Norra Götaland provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 10%
Karlstad II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs IF Karlstad II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Karlstad II
1:4
Aug 9, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Karlstad II
1:0
Apr 18, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Vanersborgs IF
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Mattsson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Karlstad II Compare

Top Goalscorer Cehajic K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Buskqvist P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs IF 30 / 100
Karlstad II 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs IF Karlstad II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanersborgs IF scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Karlstad II let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Vanersborgs IF went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Karlstad II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs IF VS Karlstad II
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408