Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vanersborgs IF vs Karlstad II

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Buskqvist P.
37' Event
Ross M.
51' Event
Cehajic K.

AI Match Summary

Karlstad II in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karlstad II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vanersborgs IF
44%
Draws
20%
Karlstad II
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Vanersborgs IF haven't matched Karlstad II's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 10%
Karlstad II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs IF Karlstad II
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 3.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Karlstad II
1:4
Aug 9, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Karlstad II
1:0
Apr 18, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Vanersborgs IF
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Mattsson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Karlstad II Compare

Top Goalscorer Cehajic K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Buskqvist P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs IF 34 / 100
Karlstad II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs IF Karlstad II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlstad II let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Vanersborgs IF scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Karlstad II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs IF VS Karlstad II
1.13 Goals Scored 1
3.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanersborgs IF

(Home)
26 Jun
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 0
Stenungsunds IF
18 Jun
Grebbestad
4 : 3
Vanersborgs IF
15 Jun
Vanersborgs IF
2 : 2
Herrestads AIF
04 Jun
Stenungsunds IF
5 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
31 May
Motala
2 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
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Karlstad II

(Away)
27 Jun
Husqvarna
3 : 1
Karlstad II
21 Jun
Karlstad II
1 : 3
Motala
13 Jun
Tord
1 : 1
Karlstad II
07 Jun
Karlstad II
0 : 2
IFK Skovde
29 May
Lidkoping
0 : 2
Karlstad II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)