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Stadium Background

Vanersborgs IF vs Kumla

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Damstrom R.
61' Event
Persson M.
65'
Hasan A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Vanersborgs IF and Kumla finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kumla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Vanersborgs IF
11%
Draws
80%
Kumla
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Kumla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Vanersborgs IF haven't matched Kumla's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kumla a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 12%
Kumla Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs IF Kumla
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 9
Draws 7 12
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Kumla
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Kumla
1:1
Jun 6, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Vanersborgs IF
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Vanersborgs IF
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Kumla
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Ransjo Falkstrand F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Kumla Compare

Top Goalscorer Damstrom R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Persson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs IF 11 / 100
Kumla 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs IF Kumla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanersborgs IF found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Kumla conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Vanersborgs IF has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs IF VS Kumla
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408