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Vanersborgs IF vs Kumla

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Damstrom R.
61' Event
Persson M.
65'
Hasan A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Vanersborgs IF and Kumla finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kumla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vanersborgs IF
20%
Draws
80%
Kumla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kumla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Vanersborgs IF haven't matched Kumla's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vanersborgs IF a 0% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 16%
Kumla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs IF Kumla
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.59 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Vanersborgs IF
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Kumla
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Kumla
1:1
Jun 6, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Vanersborgs IF
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Vanersborgs IF
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Ransjo Falkstrand F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Kumla Compare

Top Goalscorer Damstrom R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Persson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs IF 48 / 100
Kumla 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs IF Kumla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanersborgs IF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanersborgs IF found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Kumla conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Kumla registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs IF VS Kumla
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanersborgs IF

(Home)
11 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Grebbestad
06 Sept
Skara
5 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
30 Aug
Vanersborgs IF
0 : 1
Tord
21 Aug
Herrestads AIF
3 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
17 Aug
Vanersborgs IF
0 : 2
Vanersborgs FK
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Kumla

(Away)
11 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
Motala
04 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
IFK Skovde
29 Aug
Ahlafors
7 : 1
Kumla
21 Aug
Kumla
2 : 6
Husqvarna
15 Aug
Stenungsunds IF
5 : 0
Kumla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 21 17 3 1 50:17 54
2 Skara 21 14 5 2 46:22 47
3 IFK Skovde 21 12 5 4 38:24 41
4 Ahlafors 21 10 7 4 47:24 37
5 Grebbestad 21 10 3 8 36:31 33
6 Herrestads AIF 21 8 7 6 39:36 31
7 Vanersborgs FK 21 8 4 9 28:34 28
8 Stenungsunds IF 21 7 6 8 35:29 27
9 Motala 21 5 8 8 28:29 23
10 Kumla 21 5 7 9 20:37 22
11 Lidkoping 21 5 6 10 23:39 21
12 Tord 21 2 9 10 23:36 15
13 Karlstad II 21 2 7 12 23:41 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 21 2 3 16 21:58 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)