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Vanersborgs IF vs Motala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Banous S.
16' Event
Mocio J. W.
44' Event
Eriksson O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vanersborgs IF
15%
Draws
85%
Motala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Motala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Motala lately — more wins on the board than Vanersborgs IF.
  • Win probability leans Motala's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 10%
Motala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs IF Motala
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 8
Draws 3 8
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 1.2 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Motala
3:3
May 31, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Vanersborgs IF
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Vanersborgs IF
4:2
May 18, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Motala
3:0
Aug 10, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Vanersborgs IF
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Banous S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Eriksson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Motala Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdimalik I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mocio J. W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs IF 22 / 100
Motala 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs IF Motala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Motala conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Motala lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Vanersborgs IF scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs IF VS Motala
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanersborgs IF

(Home)
17 Oct
Vanersborgs IF
0 : 1
IFK Skovde
11 Oct
Karlstad II
4 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
03 Oct
Husqvarna
4 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
20 Sept
Lidkoping
5 : 2
Vanersborgs IF
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Motala

(Away)
17 Oct
Skara
6 : 2
Motala
10 Oct
Motala
1 : 3
Lidkoping
04 Oct
Ahlafors
6 : 2
Motala
27 Sept
Motala
4 : 0
Herrestads AIF
19 Sept
Motala
1 : 3
Grebbestad
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 26 21 3 2 59:20 66
2 Skara 26 18 5 3 58:28 59
3 IFK Skovde 26 15 5 6 43:26 50
4 Ahlafors 26 13 7 6 62:33 46
5 Grebbestad 26 12 4 10 46:40 40
6 Stenungsunds IF 26 11 6 9 47:34 39
7 Herrestads AIF 26 10 7 9 46:49 37
8 Lidkoping 26 9 6 11 35:43 33
9 Vanersborgs FK 26 9 5 12 36:45 32
10 Kumla 26 7 8 11 29:46 29
11 Motala 26 6 8 12 38:47 26
12 Tord 26 4 10 12 30:47 22
13 Karlstad II 26 3 7 16 29:50 16
14 Vanersborgs IF 26 2 3 21 24:74 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)