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Vanersborgs IF vs Skara

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Demalijaj A.
19' Event
Ericsson L.
56' Event
Hellman G.

AI Match Summary

Skara in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Vanersborgs IF
30%
Draws
62%
Skara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Skara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Skara lately — more wins on the board than Vanersborgs IF.
  • Skara are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Skara have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 10%
Skara Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs IF Skara
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 17
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 1.34 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Skara
1:2
Aug 31, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Skara
2:4
Apr 18, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Skara vs Vanersborgs IF
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Demalijaj A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Skara Compare

Top Goalscorer Ericsson L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hellman G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs IF 10 / 100
Skara 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs IF Skara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Vanersborgs IF scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Skara let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Vanersborgs IF stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs IF VS Skara
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanersborgs IF

(Home)
30 Aug
Vanersborgs IF
0 : 1
Tord
21 Aug
Herrestads AIF
3 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
17 Aug
Vanersborgs IF
0 : 2
Vanersborgs FK
08 Aug
Kumla
2 : 1
Vanersborgs IF
01 Aug
Vanersborgs IF
3 : 3
Motala
Page 1 of 6

Skara

(Away)
29 Aug
Lidkoping
1 : 1
Skara
22 Aug
Skara
2 : 1
Tord
14 Aug
Husqvarna
1 : 0
Skara
07 Aug
Skara
4 : 0
Vanersborgs FK
31 Jul
Stenungsunds IF
1 : 1
Skara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 19 16 3 0 47:14 51
2 Skara 19 12 5 2 37:21 41
3 IFK Skovde 19 11 4 4 37:24 37
4 Ahlafors 19 9 7 3 45:23 34
5 Grebbestad 19 9 3 7 34:29 30
6 Herrestads AIF 19 8 6 5 36:32 30
7 Stenungsunds IF 19 7 5 7 33:26 26
8 Vanersborgs FK 19 6 4 9 26:34 22
9 Motala 19 5 6 8 26:27 21
10 Kumla 19 5 5 9 20:37 20
11 Tord 19 2 9 8 22:32 15
12 Lidkoping 19 3 6 10 20:38 15
13 Karlstad II 19 2 6 11 20:35 12
14 Vanersborgs IF 19 2 3 14 20:51 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)