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Vanraure vs Montedio Yamagata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Prifoods Stadium, Hachinohe
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vanraure host Montedio Yamagata in the J2 League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Vanraure have averaged 0.83 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Montedio Yamagata's 1.17 scored and 1.37 conceded. Past meetings favor Montedio Yamagata slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.19) point toward Montedio Yamagata. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Vanraure
20%
Draws
10%
Montedio Yamagata
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vanraure

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Montedio Yamagata have won more games recently than Vanraure.
  • Model gives Vanraure a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Vanraure Clean Sheet 20%
Montedio Yamagata Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanraure Montedio Yamagata
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 4 1
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.83 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 J2/J3 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Vanraure
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 J2/J3 League
Vanraure vs Montedio Yamagata
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanraure 49 / 100
Montedio Yamagata 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanraure Montedio Yamagata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanraure Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montedio Yamagata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vanraure stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Montedio Yamagata has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vanraure VS Montedio Yamagata
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanraure

(Home)
21 Oct
Tokushima
0 : 1
Vanraure
17 Oct
Imabari
3 : 3
Vanraure
10 Oct
Omiya Ardija
3 : 1
Vanraure
04 Oct
Vanraure
0 : 2
Yokohama FC
26 Sept
Iwata
1 : 2
Vanraure
Page 1 of 6

Montedio Yamagata

(Away)
21 Oct
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
17 Oct
Fujieda MYFC
0 : 0
Montedio Yamagata
11 Oct
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 1
Vegalta Sendai
03 Oct
Oita Trinita
2 : 1
Montedio Yamagata
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 12 8 3 1 21:9 27
2 Albirex Niigata 12 7 2 3 17:20 23
3 Toyama 12 6 4 2 23:11 22
4 Yokohama FC 12 6 3 3 23:14 21
5 Omiya Ardija 12 5 5 2 21:14 20
6 Shonan Bellmare 12 4 7 1 13:11 19
7 Oita Trinita 12 4 6 2 16:9 18
8 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 12 4 5 3 17:16 17
9 Iwaki 12 5 1 6 19:18 16
10 Fujieda MYFC 12 3 6 3 15:13 15
11 Iwata 12 4 3 5 13:14 15
12 Sagan Tosu 12 4 2 6 12:15 14
13 Tokushima 12 4 2 6 10:13 14
14 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
15 Vanraure 12 4 2 6 10:20 14
16 Montedio Yamagata 12 4 1 7 11:11 13
17 Blaublitz 12 3 4 5 13:14 13
18 Tochigi City 12 3 3 6 19:20 12
19 Imabari 12 3 2 7 15:25 11
20 Kofu 12 3 1 8 9:26 10
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)