Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vanraure vs Thespakusatsu Gunma

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Prifoods Stadium, Hachinohe
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Ohata R.
Assist: Fujimura R.
59'
Hiramatsu W.
62'
Sub
Nakano S. In: Takao R.
Out: Nakano S.

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Vanraure and Thespakusatsu Gunma finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thespakusatsu Gunma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vanraure
30%
Draws
34%
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vanraure

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Thespakusatsu Gunma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vanraure a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vanraure Clean Sheet 13%
Thespakusatsu Gunma Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanraure Thespakusatsu Gunma
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 1
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 J2/J3 League
Vanraure vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 J2/J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Vanraure
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Vanraure
0:4
Jun 22, 2025 J3 League
Vanraure vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
2:0
Nov 10, 2019 J3 League
Vanraure vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanraure Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Thespakusatsu Gunma Compare

Top Goalscorer Ohata R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanraure 35 / 100
Thespakusatsu Gunma 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanraure Thespakusatsu Gunma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thespakusatsu Gunma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Vanraure went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Thespakusatsu Gunma registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanraure VS Thespakusatsu Gunma
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanraure

(Home)
16 Jul
Kawasaki Frontale
0 : 0
Vanraure
07 Jun
Vanraure
1 : 2
Imabari
01 Jun
Vanraure
0 : 1
Fukushima United
24 May
Vanraure
0 : 0
Tochigi SC
16 May
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2
Vanraure
Page 1 of 6

Thespakusatsu Gunma

(Away)
07 Jun
Kanazawa
4 : 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
31 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1
Gifu
23 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
7 : 2
SC Sagamihara
17 May
Blaublitz
3 : 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
09 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1
Tochigi City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai18160237:1543
2Blaublitz18110723:1635
3Shonan Bellmare18110728:2031
4Yokohama FC18100836:2829
5SC Sagamihara1890933:3628
6Thespakusatsu Gunma18701127:3923
7Montedio Yamagata18801022:2522
8Tochigi City18701122:3521
9Vanraure17501216:2318
10Tochigi SC17501224:3117
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kofu17110620:1233
2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo18110728:2231
3Iwaki18110726:2031
4Omiya Ardija18100839:2930
5Fujieda MYFC1890924:2330
6Gifu1790823:2527
7Matsumoto Yamaga18801033:2526
8Iwata1890920:2525
9Fukushima United18601230:4318
10Nagano Parceiro18501317:3616
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toyama18130540:2638
2Albirex Niigata18120624:1935
3Tokushima18110738:2332
4Kochi United18100825:2330
5Ehime1890926:2028
6Kanazawa18100820:2327
7Nara Club18701127:3621
8FC Osaka18601218:2320
9Imabari18601215:2120
10Kamatamare Sanuki18601215:3419
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tegevajaro Miyazaki18150335:1347
2Kagoshima United18120627:1633
3Sagan Tosu18100826:1832
4Renofa Yamaguchi18100827:2429
5Kumamoto1890921:2127
6Gainare Tottori18100824:2527
7Oita Trinita18701119:2022
8Reilac Shiga18701116:2921
9Ryukyu18601217:2817
10Giravanz Kitakyushu18401417:3515
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)