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Vanraure vs Tochigi City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J.League Cup Prifoods Stadium, Hachinohe
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Vasquez B.
Assist: Nishimura T.
46'
Sub
Tanaka T. In: Nagata K.
Out: Tanaka T.
49'
Inui T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vanraure
30%
Draws
23%
Tochigi City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vanraure

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Tochigi City have won more games recently than Vanraure.
  • Model gives Vanraure a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Tochigi City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tochigi City, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Tochigi City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Vanraure Clean Sheet 68%
Tochigi City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanraure Tochigi City
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.72 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 J.League Cup
Vanraure vs Tochigi City
0:2
Aug 15, 2026 J2 League
Tochigi City vs Vanraure
5:0
Apr 12, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tochigi City vs Vanraure
2:4
Mar 15, 2026 J2/J3 League
Vanraure vs Tochigi City
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 J3 League
Tochigi City vs Vanraure
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanraure Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tochigi City Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasquez B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nguen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanraure 59 / 100
Tochigi City 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanraure Tochigi City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanraure Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tochigi City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Tochigi City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Vanraure found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Vanraure VS Tochigi City
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanraure

(Home)
03 Nov
Oita Trinita
1 : 0
Vanraure
31 Oct
Vanraure
1 : 2
Montedio Yamagata
25 Oct
Sagan Tosu
2 : 0
Vanraure
21 Oct
Tokushima
0 : 1
Vanraure
17 Oct
Imabari
3 : 3
Vanraure
Page 1 of 6

Tochigi City

(Away)
03 Nov
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 0
Tochigi City
31 Oct
Tochigi City
1 : 3
Iwaki
25 Oct
Shonan Bellmare
2 : 1
Tochigi City
21 Oct
Tochigi City
2 : 2
Fujieda MYFC
17 Oct
Tochigi City
1 : 1
Yokohama FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Tochigi City 0
Matsumoto Yamaga 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kanazawa 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds 3
Toyama 2
Yokohama FC 2
Gifu 1
Okayama 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Kumamoto 0
Chiba 2
Iwata 4
Avispa Fukuoka 2
FC Osaka 1
Verdy 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Fujieda MYFC 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 2
Ehime 0
Mito 7
Fukushima United 0
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1
Matsumoto Yamaga 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Urawa Reds 4
Yokohama FC 0
Okayama 3
Nagoya Grampus 4
Kawasaki Frontale 4
Iwata 0
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 0
Mito 1
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3
Yokohama F. Marinos 4
Urawa Reds 2
Nagoya Grampus 1
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Sagan Tosu 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Mito 1
Machida Zelvia 1
Kyoto 0
Kashiwa Reysol 5
Gamba Osaka 4
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -