Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vanspor FK vs Yesil Bursa

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vanspor FK play Yesil Bursa in the TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2017/2018. Vanspor FK are favorites here. Recently, Vanspor FK averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Yesil Bursa averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Vanspor FK won 1, Yesil Bursa won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 10, 2018 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Vanspor FK and 1.00 for Yesil Bursa. This points to a Vanspor FK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Vanspor FK
17%
Draws
20%
Yesil Bursa
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Vanspor FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Vanspor FK picked up more points recently compared to Yesil Bursa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Vanspor FK Clean Sheet 23%
Yesil Bursa Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanspor FK Yesil Bursa
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.76 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2018 3. Lig Group 2
Vanspor FK vs Yesil Bursa
1:0
Sep 23, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Yesil Bursa vs Vanspor FK
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Tacir E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Yesil Bursa Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanspor FK 61 / 100
Yesil Bursa 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanspor FK Yesil Bursa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanspor FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Vanspor FK & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vanspor FK attacking → ← attacking Yesil Bursa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanspor FK scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Yesil Bursa let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Vanspor FK went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Yesil Bursa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 17
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Darica Genclerbirligi34219464:1872
2Ankara Demirspor34225760:3171
3Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)34197863:4064
4Bucaspor 1928341613552:2861
524Erzincanspor341710753:3061
6Pazarspor341610847:3658
752 Orduspor341510952:3355
8Beykoz Ishakli Spor341471347:4849
9Vanspor FK341471356:4749
10Turgutlu341451546:4747
11Golcukspor341381356:4947
12Erokspor341371442:3746
13Muglaspor341181536:3641
141461 Trabzon341151851:5438
15Ergene Velimese348131338:4337
16Kirikhanspor34762128:5527
17Yesil Bursa34572224:5522
18Kayseri Erciyesspor34033117:145-6