Sport Picks

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Vantaa vs Mariehamn

Finland Finland

Kakkonen South 2003
Vantaa Logo

Vantaa

0 - 1
FT
Mariehamn Logo

Mariehamn

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen South 2003 game between Vantaa and Mariehamn finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mariehamn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Vantaa
15%
Draws
59%
Mariehamn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mariehamn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vantaa come out ahead of Mariehamn on wins alone.
  • Mariehamn are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vantaa Clean Sheet 20%
Mariehamn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vantaa Mariehamn
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.27 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2003 Kakkonen South
Vantaa vs Mariehamn
0:1
Jul 17, 2003 Kakkonen South
Mariehamn vs Vantaa
3:3
Sep 21, 2002 Kakkonen South
Vantaa vs Mariehamn
6:0
Jul 20, 2002 Kakkonen South
Mariehamn vs Vantaa
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vantaa 20 / 100
Mariehamn 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vantaa Mariehamn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mariehamn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mariehamn conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Vantaa scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Vantaa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mariehamn
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vantaa

(Home)
19 Mar
Vantaa
0 : 4
Viikingit
02 Oct
Vantaa
1 : 4
Atlantis
26 Sept
Warkaus
3 : 2
Vantaa
19 Sept
Vantaa
2 : 2
PEPO
11 Sept
Vantaa
5 : 1
SC Riverball
Page 1 of 6

Mariehamn

(Away)
08 Sept
Lahti
2 : 1
Mariehamn
31 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
Jaro
23 Aug
KuPS
2 : 4
Mariehamn
15 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
SJK
09 Aug
Ilves
2 : 0
Mariehamn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PK-35 22 12 7 3 38:21 43
2 Mariehamn 22 11 5 6 37:25 38
3 Atlantis 22 11 4 7 28:24 37
4 Espoo 22 10 5 7 42:36 35
5 FCK Salamat 22 9 6 7 45:32 33
6 KaPa 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
7 Gnistan 22 7 11 4 34:31 32
8 FC Kontu 22 8 7 7 34:36 31
9 Hyvinkaan Palloseura (HyPS) 22 5 6 11 30:37 21
10 Kiffen 22 4 9 9 18:37 21
11 Vantaa 22 5 4 13 19:33 19
12 FC Futura 22 4 5 13 28:48 17
Promotion - Kakkonen Promotion Play Offs 2003 (Main)
Relegation - Kakkonen Relegation Play Offs 2003 (Main)