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Vanuatu U17 vs Tonga U17

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
31' Event
50' Event

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U17 2015 game between Vanuatu U17 and Tonga U17 finished 9-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanuatu U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Vanuatu U17
15%
Draws
36%
Tonga U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vanuatu U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vanuatu U17 come out ahead of Tonga U17 on wins alone.
  • Vanuatu U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Vanuatu U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Tonga U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanuatu U17 Tonga U17
Matches Played 22 14
Wins 10 2
Draws 3 0
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.77 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.45 7.43
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2015 OFC Championship U16
Vanuatu U17 vs Tonga U17
9:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu U17 85 / 100
Tonga U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanuatu U17 Tonga U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanuatu U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanuatu U17's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Tonga U17 let in goals in 93% of their last 14 matches.

H2H data points to 9.00 goals as a typical output.

Tonga U17 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu U17 VS Tonga U17
4.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 5.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanuatu U17

(Home)
22 Jan
New Zealand U17
1 : 0
Vanuatu U17
17 Jan
Vanuatu U17
2 : 1
Cook Islands U17
11 Jan
Tahiti U17
2 : 1
Vanuatu U17
18 Feb
Vanuatu U17
2 : 3
New Caledonia U17
15 Feb
Papua New Guinea U17
3 : 3
Vanuatu U17
Page 1 of 5

Tonga U17

(Away)
21 Jan
Tahiti U17
5 : 0
Tonga U17
18 Jan
Tonga U17
0 : 3
Fiji U17
15 Jan
Tonga U17
0 : 6
Samoa U17
20 Jan
Tonga U17
2 : 0
American Samoa U17
18 Jan
Tonga U17
0 : 13
Tahiti U17
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U17 5 5 0 0 29:5 15
2 New Caledonia U17 5 4 0 1 22:8 12
3 Papua New Guinea U17 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
4 Fiji U17 5 2 1 2 10:12 7
5 Samoa U17 5 1 0 4 7:22 3
6 Cook Islands U17 5 0 0 5 2:27 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tahiti U17 4 4 0 0 29:0 12
2 Vanuatu U17 4 3 0 1 24:3 9
3 Solomon Islands U17 4 2 0 2 24:6 6
4 Tonga U17 4 1 0 3 3:32 3
5 American Samoa U17 4 0 0 4 0:39 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2015 (Play Offs)