Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vanuatu U19 vs American Samoa U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Waoute S.
45' Event
Numake J.
45' Event
Numake J.

AI Match Summary

Vanuatu U19 in this OFC Championship U19 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vanuatu U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Vanuatu U19
20%
Draws
0%
American Samoa U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vanuatu U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vanuatu U19 lately — more wins on the board than American Samoa U19.
  • Win probability leans Vanuatu U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Championship U19 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Vanuatu U19 Clean Sheet 20%
American Samoa U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanuatu U19 American Samoa U19
Matches Played 23 14
Wins 7 0
Draws 4 1
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.43 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.3 4.29
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2024 OFC Championship U19
Vanuatu U19 vs American Samoa U19
4:0
May 27, 2014 OFC Championship U19
American Samoa U19 vs Vanuatu U19
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanuatu U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Numake J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Waoute S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

American Samoa U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu U19 85 / 100
American Samoa U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanuatu U19 American Samoa U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanuatu U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

American Samoa U19 has conceded goals in 100% of their last 14 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

American Samoa U19's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Vanuatu U19 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (23 games).

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu U19 VS American Samoa U19
1.13 Goals Scored 0.83
1.13 Goals Conceded 5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanuatu U19

(Home)
12 Sept
Samoa U19
3 : 1
Vanuatu U19
08 Sept
Vanuatu U19
0 : 6
New Zealand U19
04 Sept
Vanuatu U19
1 : 1
Tahiti U19
01 Sept
Fiji U19
7 : 2
Vanuatu U19
21 Aug
Vanuatu U19
3 : 3
Australia U17
Page 1 of 5

American Samoa U19

(Away)
15 Apr
American Samoa U19
3 : 4
Tonga U19
12 Apr
American Samoa U19
2 : 3
Cook Islands U19
09 Apr
Vanuatu U19
4 : 0
American Samoa U19
13 Sept
American Samoa U19
0 : 4
Cook Islands U19
11 Sept
New Zealand U19
9 : 0
American Samoa U19
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vanuatu U19 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Cook Islands U19 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
3 Tonga U19 3 1 1 1 5:7 4
4 American Samoa U19 3 0 0 3 5:11 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2024 (Main)