Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vanuatu U19 vs Australia U17

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Sambrook L.
45' Event
Paul P.
Own Goal
53' Event
Waoute S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Vanuatu U19
20%
Draws
60%
Australia U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Australia U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Australia U17 lately — more wins on the board than Vanuatu U19.
  • Model gives Australia U17 a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Vanuatu U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Australia U17 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanuatu U19 Australia U17
Matches Played 23 28
Wins 7 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.43 2.89
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2024 Friendly International
Vanuatu U19 vs Australia U17
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanuatu U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Loren M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Waoute S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Australia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sambrook L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stanway S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.24
Avg xA / game 1.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu U19 14 / 100
Australia U17 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanuatu U19 Australia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Australia U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Vanuatu U19 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (23 games).

Australia U17 let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Difficult form: Australia U17 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu U19 VS Australia U17
1 Goals Scored 2.88
4.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanuatu U19

(Home)
12 Sept
Samoa U19
3 : 1
Vanuatu U19
08 Sept
Vanuatu U19
0 : 6
New Zealand U19
04 Sept
Vanuatu U19
1 : 1
Tahiti U19
01 Sept
Fiji U19
7 : 2
Vanuatu U19
21 Aug
Vanuatu U19
3 : 3
Australia U17
Page 1 of 5

Australia U17

(Away)
11 Jul
Tanzania U17
5 : 3
Australia U17
08 Jul
Australia U17
4 : 2
Nigeria U17
05 Jul
China U17
3 : 0
Australia U17
19 May
China U17
2 : 0
Australia U17
16 May
Vietnam U17
0 : 3
Australia U17
Page 1 of 6