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Vanuatu U19 vs New Zealand U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Sloane-Rodrigues G.
45' Event
Grosso O.
50' Event
Ferguson B.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U19 game between Vanuatu U19 and New Zealand U19 finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Zealand U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Vanuatu U19
20%
Draws
71%
New Zealand U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: New Zealand U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Zealand U19 come out ahead of Vanuatu U19 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans New Zealand U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Championship U19 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Vanuatu U19 Clean Sheet 10%
New Zealand U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanuatu U19 New Zealand U19
Matches Played 23 21
Wins 7 21
Draws 4 0
Losses 12 0
Goals Scored 1.43 4.9
Goals Conceded 2.3 0.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 3.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 OFC Championship U19
Vanuatu U19 vs New Zealand U19
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanuatu U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

New Zealand U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferguson B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Sloane-Rodrigues G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.35
Avg xA / game 2.05

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu U19 10 / 100
New Zealand U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanuatu U19 New Zealand U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Zealand U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Vanuatu U19 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (23 games).

New Zealand U19 has conceded goals in 14% of their last 21 outings.

Vanuatu U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu U19 VS New Zealand U19
1.75 Goals Scored 4.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanuatu U19

(Home)
12 Sept
Samoa U19
3 : 1
Vanuatu U19
08 Sept
Vanuatu U19
0 : 6
New Zealand U19
04 Sept
Vanuatu U19
1 : 1
Tahiti U19
01 Sept
Fiji U19
7 : 2
Vanuatu U19
21 Aug
Vanuatu U19
3 : 3
Australia U17
Page 1 of 5

New Zealand U19

(Away)
14 Sept
Tahiti U19
0 : 2
New Zealand U19
11 Sept
New Zealand U19
6 : 1
New Caledonia U19
08 Sept
Vanuatu U19
0 : 6
New Zealand U19
05 Sept
New Zealand U19
2 : 0
Fiji U19
02 Sept
New Zealand U19
8 : 0
Tahiti U19
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Solomon Islands U19 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 New Caledonia U19 3 2 0 1 12:5 6
3 Papua New Guinea U19 3 1 0 2 4:10 3
4 Samoa U19 3 0 0 3 4:10 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U19 3 3 0 0 16:0 9
2 Tahiti U19 3 1 1 1 3:10 4
3 Fiji U19 3 1 0 2 8:6 3
4 Vanuatu U19 3 0 1 2 3:14 1
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 (5th-8th places)