Sport Picks

Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U20 2013

Papua New Guinea U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vanuatu U20 play Papua New Guinea U20 in the OFC Championship U20 2013. Vanuatu U20 are favorites here. Recently, Vanuatu U20 averaged 2.47 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. Papua New Guinea U20 averaged 1.25 goals scored and 3.17 conceded. In past meetings, Vanuatu U20 won 3, Papua New Guinea U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 6, 2016 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.13 for Vanuatu U20 and 1.00 for Papua New Guinea U20. This points to a Vanuatu U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

72%

Vanuatu U20

15%

Draws

13%

Papua New Guinea U20

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vanuatu U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Vanuatu U20 picked up more points recently compared to Papua New Guinea U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.13 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Vanuatu U20 Clean Sheet 23%

Papua New Guinea U20 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vanuatu U20	Papua New Guinea U20
Matches Played	17	12
Wins	10	1
Draws	0	3
Losses	7	8
Goals Scored	2.47	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.94	3.17
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	3.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2016 OFC Championship U19

Vanuatu U20 vs Papua New Guinea U20

Possession: 40% - 53% Cards: 1 - 0

3:1

Mar 25, 2013 OFC Championship U19

Vanuatu U20 vs Papua New Guinea U20

Possession: 40% - 43% Cards: 4 - 2

6:1

Apr 25, 2011 OFC Championship U19

Papua New Guinea U20 vs Vanuatu U20

Possession: 46% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

2:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu U20 69 / 100

Papua New Guinea U20 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vanuatu U20 Papua New Guinea U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanuatu U20 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Vanuatu U20 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.3%

1.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vanuatu U20 attacking → ← attacking Papua New Guinea U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanuatu U20 scored in 82% of their last 17 games.

Papua New Guinea U20 let in goals in 92% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Vanuatu U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Papua New Guinea U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 6

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.88