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Vanuatu United vs PNG Hekari

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Pro League
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Diho R.
37' Event
Kepo A.
75' Event
Saniel A.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Pro League game between Vanuatu United and PNG Hekari finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanuatu United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Vanuatu United
11%
Draws
9%
PNG Hekari
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Vanuatu United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PNG Hekari come out ahead of Vanuatu United on wins alone.
  • Model gives Vanuatu United a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Vanuatu United Clean Sheet 17%
PNG Hekari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanuatu United PNG Hekari
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 OFC Pro League
Vanuatu United vs PNG Hekari
3:1
Feb 28, 2026 OFC Pro League
Vanuatu United vs PNG Hekari
1:3
Feb 3, 2026 OFC Pro League
PNG Hekari vs Vanuatu United
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanuatu United Compare

Top Goalscorer Saniel A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diho R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

PNG Hekari Compare

Top Goalscorer Kepo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu United 75 / 100
PNG Hekari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanuatu United PNG Hekari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vanuatu United scored in 84% of their last 19 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

PNG Hekari's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Vanuatu United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu United VS PNG Hekari
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanuatu United

(Home)
20 May
South Melbourne
4 : 0
Vanuatu United
17 May
Bula
1 : 2
Vanuatu United
13 May
Tahiti United
2 : 2
Vanuatu United
10 May
Solomon Kings
2 : 3
Vanuatu United
07 May
Vanuatu United
3 : 1
PNG Hekari
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PNG Hekari

(Away)
13 May
Solomon Kings
3 : 0
PNG Hekari
10 May
Tahiti United
2 : 2
PNG Hekari
07 May
Vanuatu United
3 : 1
PNG Hekari
18 Apr
South Melbourne
1 : 2
PNG Hekari
15 Apr
Auckland FC 2
2 : 0
PNG Hekari
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
5Vanuatu United32108:57
6Solomon Kings32017:46
7Tahiti United30215:62
8PNG Hekari30123:81
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