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Vanuatu vs Australia U23

World World

Friendly International 2024 VFF Freshwater Stadium, Port Vila
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Blair N.
62' Event
Taylor C.
74' Event
Grimaldi M.

AI Match Summary

Australia U23 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Australia U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Vanuatu
20%
Draws
28%
Australia U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vanuatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Medium Confidence
  • Australia U23 have won more games recently than Vanuatu.
  • Model gives Vanuatu a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Vanuatu Clean Sheet 10%
Australia U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanuatu Australia U23
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 2 3.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2024 Friendly International
Vanuatu vs Australia U23
0:4
Sep 5, 2024 Friendly International
Vanuatu vs Australia U23
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanuatu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Australia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Blair N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taylor C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu 34 / 100
Australia U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanuatu Australia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Vanuatu has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Vanuatu scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Australia U23 has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu VS Australia U23
2 Goals Scored 3.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanuatu

(Home)
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2
Fiji
06 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Fiji
23 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 3
Vanuatu
20 Nov
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Solomon Islands
17 Nov
Vanuatu
2 : 0
Fiji
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Australia U23

(Away)
17 Jan
Australia U23
1 : 2
South Korea U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
11 Jan
China U23
1 : 0
Australia U23
08 Jan
Australia U23
2 : 1
Thailand U23
09 Sept
Australia U23
0 : 0
China U23
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