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Vanuatu vs Cook Islands

World World

World Cup 2022
Vanuatu Logo

Vanuatu

Thu, Mar 24, 2022
VS
02:00 PM
Cook Islands Logo

Cook Islands

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the World Cup 2022. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Vanuatu have averaged 1.73 scored and 2.03 conceded recently, against Cook Islands's 0.85 scored and 2.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Vanuatu have won 1 to Cook Islands's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 24, 2022, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.44, favoring Vanuatu. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Vanuatu
20%
Draws
22%
Cook Islands
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vanuatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vanuatu lately — more wins on the board than Cook Islands.
  • Model gives Vanuatu a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Vanuatu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Vanuatu Clean Sheet 16%
Cook Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanuatu Cook Islands
Matches Played 33 26
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 2
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.73 0.85
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2022 World Championship
Vanuatu vs Cook Islands
0:0
Jun 6, 2001 World Championship
Cook Islands vs Vanuatu
1:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu 84 / 100
Cook Islands 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanuatu Cook Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanuatu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cook Islands let in goals in 88% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Vanuatu found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Recent resilience: Vanuatu stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu VS Cook Islands
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanuatu

(Home)
27 Sept
Vanuatu
4 : 1
New Caledonia
24 Sept
Solomon Islands
3 : 3
Vanuatu
21 Sept
Fiji
0 : 1
Vanuatu
18 Sept
Papua New Guinea
2 : 1
Vanuatu
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2
Fiji
Page 1 of 7

Cook Islands

(Away)
27 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tahiti
08 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 2
American Samoa
05 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tonga
26 Mar
Cook Islands
1 : 0
Tonga
22 Mar
Samoa
1 : 0
Cook Islands
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Solomon Islands 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Tahiti 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
3 Cook Islands 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Vanuatu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - World Cup 2022 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Papua New Guinea 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Fiji 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 New Caledonia 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - World Cup 2022 (Third stage)