Sport Picks
Vanuatu vs New Caledonia
Australia & Oceania
OFC Nations Cup VFF Freshwater Stadium, Port Vila 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Vanuatu have averaged 1.23 scored and 2.35 conceded recently, against New Caledonia's 2.21 scored and 1.26 conceded. Past meetings favor New Caledonia slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 9, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 0.94, favoring New Caledonia. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- New Caledonia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Vanuatu a 53% chance of winning this.
- New Caledonia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vanuatu | New Caledonia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 19 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 2.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.35 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vanuatu's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
Defensive concern: New Caledonia conceded in 63% of 19 recent games.
Vanuatu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Difficult form: New Caledonia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Vanuatu
(Home)New Caledonia
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Zealand | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Vanuatu | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Solomon Islands | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 4 | New Caledonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fiji | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Tahiti | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Papua New Guinea | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Samoa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | 0 |
