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Vanuatu vs Tuvalu

World World

Friendly International 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2017 game between Vanuatu and Tuvalu finished 10-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanuatu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Vanuatu
15%
Draws
27%
Tuvalu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vanuatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Vanuatu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vanuatu a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Vanuatu Clean Sheet 10%
Tuvalu Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanuatu Tuvalu
Matches Played 31 18
Wins 13 4
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 2.32 1
Goals Conceded 2 5.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2023 Pacific Games
Tuvalu vs Vanuatu
0:6
Dec 12, 2017 Friendly International
Vanuatu vs Tuvalu
10:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu 83 / 100
Tuvalu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanuatu Tuvalu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanuatu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tuvalu conceded in 94% of 18 recent games.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vanuatu stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Vanuatu scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanuatu

(Home)
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2
Fiji
06 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Fiji
23 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 3
Vanuatu
20 Nov
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Solomon Islands
17 Nov
Vanuatu
2 : 0
Fiji
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Tuvalu

(Away)
30 Nov
Northern Mariana Islands
1 : 4
Tuvalu
27 Nov
Tonga
0 : 4
Tuvalu
20 Nov
Tuvalu
0 : 6
Vanuatu
17 Nov
Papua New Guinea
3 : 0
Tuvalu
17 Jul
New Caledonia
11 : 0
Tuvalu
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