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Vaqueros vs Mineros de Fresnillo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vaqueros in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vaqueros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vaqueros
20%
Draws
40%
Mineros de Fresnillo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Mineros de Fresnillo have won more games recently than Vaqueros.
  • Model gives Vaqueros a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Vaqueros Clean Sheet 18%
Mineros de Fresnillo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaqueros Mineros de Fresnillo
Matches Played 6 28
Wins 4 13
Draws 1 7
Losses 1 8
Goals Scored 1.83 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Vaqueros vs Mineros de Fresnillo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaqueros 36 / 100
Mineros de Fresnillo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaqueros Mineros de Fresnillo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaqueros scored in 100% of their last 6 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vaqueros went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mineros de Fresnillo let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vaqueros VS Mineros de Fresnillo
1.57 Goals Scored 1.5
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.88
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaqueros

(Home)
04 Oct
Apodaca
1 : 2
Vaqueros
27 Sept
Vaqueros
2 : 1
Mineros de Fresnillo
20 Sept
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
2 : 1
Vaqueros
15 Sept
Vaqueros
1 : 1
Heroes de Zaci
06 Sept
Guerreros de Autlan
3 : 4
Vaqueros
Page 1 of 2

Mineros de Fresnillo

(Away)
03 Oct
Mineros de Fresnillo
3 : 0
Saltillo Soccer F.C.
27 Sept
Vaqueros
2 : 1
Mineros de Fresnillo
19 Sept
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
Heroes de Zaci
11 Sept
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
FC Santiago
05 Sept
Correcaminos 2
0 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Tribu de Cd. Juarez 6 4 0 2 15:8 13
2 Zapotlanejo 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Vaqueros 6 4 1 1 11:8 13
4 Mineros de Fresnillo 6 3 2 1 8:2 11
5 Correcaminos 2 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
6 Guerreros de Autlan 6 2 1 3 10:12 8
7 Saltillo Soccer F.C. 6 3 0 3 9:15 8
8 FC Santiago 6 2 1 3 9:7 7
9 Apodaca 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
10 Heroes de Zaci 6 0 1 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 6 6 0 0 16:4 19
2 Dragones de Oaxaca 6 4 1 1 14:7 15
3 Halcones Negros 6 3 1 2 17:4 11
4 Acambaro 6 3 1 2 16:8 10
5 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
6 Guerreros del Pacifico 5 2 1 2 4:4 8
7 Calor De San Pedro 5 2 1 2 7:12 8
8 Real Refineros 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
9 Ciervos 6 1 0 5 3:19 2
10 Canoneros FC 6 0 0 6 1:19 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)