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Varazdin vs Din. Zagreb - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion Varteks, Varaždin
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Varazdin host Din. Zagreb in the HNL. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Varazdin at 1.63 goals for, 0.81 against; Din. Zagreb at 2.52 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor Din. Zagreb slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.19) back Din. Zagreb to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Varazdin
35%
Draws
28%
Din. Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varazdin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Din. Zagreb lately — more wins on the board than Varazdin.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Din. Zagreb here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Varazdin Clean Sheet 20%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varazdin Din. Zagreb
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 17 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 1.63 2.52
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Varazdin
3:1
Apr 26, 2026 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Varazdin
2:1
Feb 22, 2026 HNL
Varazdin vs Din. Zagreb
0:4
Nov 22, 2025 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Varazdin
3:1
Aug 30, 2025 HNL
Varazdin vs Din. Zagreb
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varazdin 31 / 100
Din. Zagreb 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varazdin Din. Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varazdin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varazdin found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Varazdin has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Din. Zagreb's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Varazdin VS Din. Zagreb
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Varazdin

(Home)
11 Oct
Lok. Zagreb
0 : 1
Varazdin
02 Oct
Aluminij
0 : 0
Varazdin
19 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Osijek
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
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Din. Zagreb

(Away)
10 Oct
Hajduk Split
2 : 1
Din. Zagreb
04 Oct
Vukovar 1991
0 : 4
Din. Zagreb
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
16 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
0 : 0
Din. Zagreb
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hajduk Split 9 6 1 2 18:9 19
2 Varazdin 9 5 3 1 14:7 18
3 Din. Zagreb 8 5 1 2 18:11 16
4 Osijek 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
5 Rijeka 8 4 2 2 14:11 14
6 Istra 1961 9 3 3 3 17:14 12
7 Slaven Belupo 9 3 1 5 11:17 10
8 Lok. Zagreb 9 2 1 6 11:17 7
9 Rudes 9 2 1 6 12:25 7
10 HNK Gorica 9 1 2 6 6:14 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)