Sport Picks

Croatia

HNL 2025/2026 Gradski stadion Varazdin

Varazdin

2 - 0

Istra 1961

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Taraba F.

14'

Mamic L.

(Penalty)

25'

Kumar R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Varazdin in this HNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varazdin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Varazdin

Draws

Istra 1961

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Varazdin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Varazdin have won more games recently than Istra 1961.
Model gives Varazdin a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%

Varazdin Clean Sheet 68%

Istra 1961 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Varazdin	Istra 1961
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	16	12
Draws	5	5
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	1.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 HNL

Varazdin vs Istra 1961

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Mar 20, 2026 HNL

Istra 1961 vs Varazdin

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 4 - 3

2:1

Dec 19, 2025 HNL

Varazdin vs Istra 1961

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 0 - 2

1:3

Oct 3, 2025 HNL

Istra 1961 vs Varazdin

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

May 11, 2025 HNL

Istra 1961 vs Varazdin

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varazdin 95 / 100

Istra 1961 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Varazdin Istra 1961

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varazdin scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Istra 1961's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Varazdin stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Varazdin VS Istra 1961

1.38 Goals Scored 1.25

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75

75% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Din. Zagreb	36	27	5	4	93:28	86
2	Hajduk Split	36	20	8	8	61:36	68
3	Varazdin	36	15	9	12	47:46	54
4	Rijeka	36	14	11	11	49:36	53
5	Lok. Zagreb	36	10	14	12	40:52	44
6	Istra 1961	36	12	7	17	39:50	43
7	Slaven Belupo	36	10	11	15	46:61	41
8	HNK Gorica	36	11	8	17	40:48	41
9	Osijek	36	8	11	17	27:49	35
10	Vukovar 1991	36	6	10	20	37:73	28