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Varazdin vs Sibenik

Croatia Croatia

HNL 2024/2025 Stadion Varteks, Varaždin
Varazdin Logo

Varazdin

1 - 1
FT
Sibenik Logo

Sibenik

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
11' Event
Santini I.
45'
Pozo I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The HNL 2024/2025 game between Varazdin and Sibenik finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Varazdin
30%
Draws
28%
Sibenik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varazdin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Varazdin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Varazdin a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Varazdin Clean Sheet 68%
Sibenik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varazdin Sibenik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.67 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2025 HNL
Varazdin vs Sibenik
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 HNL
Sibenik vs Varazdin
0:2
Nov 29, 2024 HNL
Varazdin vs Sibenik
2:1
Sep 15, 2024 HNL
Sibenik vs Varazdin
0:0
May 5, 2023 HNL
Sibenik vs Varazdin
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varazdin Compare

Top Goalscorer Antunovic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Sibenik Compare

Top Goalscorer Santini I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varazdin 86 / 100
Sibenik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varazdin Sibenik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varazdin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Varazdin scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Sibenik let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Varazdin has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Varazdin VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varazdin

(Home)
19 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Osijek
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Istra 1961
29 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0
Rudes
Page 1 of 6

Sibenik

(Away)
10 Sept
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
4 : 1
Sibenik
23 Aug
Sibenik
4 : 1
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
16 Aug
Sloga Mravince
2 : 1
Sibenik
13 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 0
Drnis
09 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 2
Vodice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijeka 36 18 11 7 49:21 65
2 Din. Zagreb 36 19 8 9 69:41 65
3 Hajduk Split 36 17 12 7 49:34 63
4 Varazdin 36 11 16 9 28:24 49
5 Slaven Belupo 36 13 9 14 42:45 48
6 Istra 1961 36 11 15 10 39:42 48
7 Osijek 36 11 9 16 46:52 42
8 Lok. Zagreb 36 10 9 17 45:54 39
9 HNK Gorica 36 9 10 17 29:51 37
10 Sibenik 36 7 9 20 28:60 30
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2025/2026 (Main)