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Varberg vs Brage - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Paskbergsvallen, Varberg
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Sadiku E.
36' Event
Trpcevski F.
Assist: Sise M.
51' Event
Sise M.
Assist: Mortensen A.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Varberg and Brage finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Varberg
35%
Draws
24%
Brage
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varberg come out ahead of Brage on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Varberg's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Varberg Clean Sheet 20%
Brage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varberg Brage
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 4
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.86 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Brage
3:2
Apr 26, 2026 Superettan
Brage vs Varberg
2:2
Nov 1, 2025 Superettan
Varberg vs Brage
1:2
Apr 13, 2025 Superettan
Brage vs Varberg
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Superettan
Varberg vs Brage
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Alfonsi O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vidjeskog I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Brage Compare

Top Goalscorer Trpcevski F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sise M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varberg 40 / 100
Brage 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varberg Brage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brage's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Varberg remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Varberg found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Varberg VS Brage
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varberg

(Home)
01 Nov
Varberg
2 : 2
Ljungskile
27 Oct
Landskrona
1 : 1
Varberg
19 Oct
Varberg
0 : 0
Helsingborg
10 Oct
Ostersund
1 : 1
Varberg
19 Sept
Varberg
3 : 2
Brage
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Brage

(Away)
30 Oct
Oddevold
2 : 1
Brage
24 Oct
Brage
4 : 5
Oster
17 Oct
Ljungskile
2 : 0
Brage
11 Oct
Brage
2 : 0
Helsingborg
03 Oct
Brage
1 : 1
Degerfors
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 29 20 5 4 61:18 65
2 Falkenberg 29 16 6 7 54:39 54
3 Varberg 29 13 9 7 48:37 48
4 Ostersund 29 12 12 5 38:29 48
5 Landskrona 29 13 8 8 48:34 47
6 Oddevold 29 12 9 8 50:38 45
7 Oster 29 14 3 12 49:45 45
8 Nordic United 29 11 9 9 45:49 42
9 Sandviken 29 11 8 10 47:38 41
10 Varnamo 29 10 5 14 38:48 35
11 Helsingborg 29 8 8 13 37:51 32
12 Ljungskile 29 7 10 12 37:42 31
13 Orebro 29 6 11 12 32:44 29
14 Norrby 29 5 12 12 31:44 27
15 Brage 29 6 8 15 46:57 26
16 Sundsvall 29 6 1 22 21:69 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)