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Varberg vs Norrkoping - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Paskbergsvallen, Varberg
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Broman G.
36'
Vidjeskog I.
54' Event
Nyman C.

AI Match Summary

Norrkoping in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Norrkoping.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Varberg
35%
Draws
40%
Norrkoping
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Norrkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Norrkoping lately — more wins on the board than Varberg.
  • Win probability leans Norrkoping's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Norrkoping have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Varberg Clean Sheet 15%
Norrkoping Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varberg Norrkoping
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 19
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.86 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Norrkoping
0:2
Jun 15, 2026 Superettan
Norrkoping vs Varberg
2:0
Nov 6, 2023 Allsvenskan
Norrkoping vs Varberg
4:3
May 13, 2023 Allsvenskan
Varberg vs Norrkoping
1:3
Aug 28, 2022 Allsvenskan
Varberg vs Norrkoping
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varberg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Norrkoping Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyman C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Neffati M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varberg 10 / 100
Norrkoping 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varberg Norrkoping

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norrkoping Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Varberg has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Varberg's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Norrkoping let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Varberg VS Norrkoping
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Varberg

(Home)
01 Nov
Varberg
2 : 2
Ljungskile
27 Oct
Landskrona
1 : 1
Varberg
19 Oct
Varberg
0 : 0
Helsingborg
10 Oct
Ostersund
1 : 1
Varberg
19 Sept
Varberg
3 : 2
Brage
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Norrkoping

(Away)
31 Oct
Norrkoping
3 : 0
Ostersund
25 Oct
Norrby
0 : 4
Norrkoping
20 Oct
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Orebro
13 Oct
Norrkoping
4 : 0
Sundsvall
06 Oct
Norrkoping
0 : 0
Kalmar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 29 20 5 4 61:18 65
2 Falkenberg 29 16 6 7 54:39 54
3 Varberg 29 13 9 7 48:37 48
4 Ostersund 29 12 12 5 38:29 48
5 Landskrona 29 13 8 8 48:34 47
6 Oddevold 29 12 9 8 50:38 45
7 Oster 29 14 3 12 49:45 45
8 Nordic United 29 11 9 9 45:49 42
9 Sandviken 29 11 8 10 47:38 41
10 Varnamo 29 10 5 14 38:48 35
11 Helsingborg 29 8 8 13 37:51 32
12 Ljungskile 29 7 10 12 37:42 31
13 Orebro 29 6 11 12 32:44 29
14 Norrby 29 5 12 12 31:44 27
15 Brage 29 6 8 15 46:57 26
16 Sundsvall 29 6 1 22 21:69 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)