Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varberg vs Oddevold

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Paskbergsvallen, Varberg
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Nilsson J.
Assist: Winbo A.
11' Event
Saetra M.
Own Goal
13' Event
Nilsson J.
Assist: Vidjeskog I.

AI Match Summary

Varberg in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Varberg
15%
Draws
54%
Oddevold
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oddevold

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varberg lately — more wins on the board than Oddevold.
  • Varberg are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Varberg Clean Sheet 68%
Oddevold Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varberg Oddevold
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.79 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Oddevold
3:1
Jul 18, 2026 Superettan
Oddevold vs Varberg
2:4
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Varberg vs Oddevold
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Superettan
Varberg vs Oddevold
1:1
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Oddevold vs Varberg
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilsson J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Oddevold Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varberg 77 / 100
Oddevold 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varberg Oddevold

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varberg scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Oddevold's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Varberg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varberg VS Oddevold
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varberg

(Home)
10 Sept
Varberg
0 : 2
Norrkoping
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1
Varberg
30 Aug
Varberg
3 : 1
Oddevold
25 Aug
Orebro
2 : 1
Varberg
18 Aug
Boljan
0 : 5
Varberg
Page 1 of 6

Oddevold

(Away)
09 Sept
Sandviken
0 : 1
Oddevold
05 Sept
Oddevold
2 : 1
Falkenberg
30 Aug
Varberg
3 : 1
Oddevold
23 Aug
Oddevold
3 : 1
Helsingborg
18 Aug
AFC Eskilstuna
4 : 5
Oddevold
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 23 16 3 4 45:15 51
2 Falkenberg 23 12 5 6 44:33 41
3 Ostersund 23 10 9 4 32:24 39
4 Varberg 23 11 5 7 39:30 38
5 Oddevold 23 9 8 6 37:32 35
6 Nordic United 23 9 8 6 36:35 35
7 Landskrona 23 9 7 7 31:25 34
8 Sandviken 23 9 6 8 38:30 33
9 Oster 23 10 3 10 34:34 33
10 Helsingborg 23 8 5 10 36:44 29
11 Varnamo 23 7 5 11 30:41 26
12 Ljungskile 23 6 7 10 29:33 25
13 Norrby 23 4 11 8 27:33 23
14 Orebro 23 5 8 10 24:34 23
15 Brage 23 5 7 11 36:44 22
16 Sundsvall 23 5 1 17 16:47 16
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)